Redistricting has shifted Alabama's 2nd Congressional District to an R+7 Partisan Voter Index, favoring Republicans after prior lines supported a Democratic hold. Incumbent Shomari Figures (D) faces Rhett Marques (R) in the November 3, 2026 special general election following the August 11 primaries, where the Democratic contest was canceled and Marques secured the GOP nomination. Multiple forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, reflecting the district's altered electorate, limited Democratic crossover potential, and historical Republican performance in similar Alabama terrain. Trader pricing at 74% Republican aligns with these structural changes, though outcomes could shift with turnout patterns or late campaign developments in the remaining weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAL-02 House Election Winner
AL-02 House Election Winner
$39,563 Wol.
$39,563 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
74%
Democratic Party
26%
$39,563 Wol.
$39,563 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$20,300 Wol.
74%
Democratic Party
$19,264 Wol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has shifted Alabama's 2nd Congressional District to an R+7 Partisan Voter Index, favoring Republicans after prior lines supported a Democratic hold. Incumbent Shomari Figures (D) faces Rhett Marques (R) in the November 3, 2026 special general election following the August 11 primaries, where the Democratic contest was canceled and Marques secured the GOP nomination. Multiple forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, reflecting the district's altered electorate, limited Democratic crossover potential, and historical Republican performance in similar Alabama terrain. Trader pricing at 74% Republican aligns with these structural changes, though outcomes could shift with turnout patterns or late campaign developments in the remaining weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Wolumen
$39,563Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has shifted Alabama's 2nd Congressional District to an R+7 Partisan Voter Index, favoring Republicans after prior lines supported a Democratic hold. Incumbent Shomari Figures (D) faces Rhett Marques (R) in the November 3, 2026 special general election following the August 11 primaries, where the Democratic contest was canceled and Marques secured the GOP nomination. Multiple forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, reflecting the district's altered electorate, limited Democratic crossover potential, and historical Republican performance in similar Alabama terrain. Trader pricing at 74% Republican aligns with these structural changes, though outcomes could shift with turnout patterns or late campaign developments in the remaining weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$39,563Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting has shifted Alabama's 2nd Congressional District to an R+7 Partisan Voter Index, favoring Republicans after prior lines supported a Democratic hold. Incumbent Shomari Figures (D) faces Rhett Marques (R) in the November 3, 2026 special general election following the August 11 primaries, where the Democratic contest was canceled and Marques secured the GOP nomination. Multiple forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, reflecting the district's altered electorate, limited Democratic crossover potential, and historical Republican performance in similar Alabama terrain. Trader pricing at 74% Republican aligns with these structural changes, though outcomes could shift with turnout patterns or late campaign developments in the remaining weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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