Abraham Hamadeh secured the Republican nomination unopposed in Arizona’s 8th Congressional District primary on July 21, 2026, while Bernadette Greene-Placentia won the Democratic primary. The district carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and delivered Republican presidential margins exceeding 13 points in recent cycles. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the general election contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the seat’s consistent partisan lean, Hamadeh’s incumbency, and limited Democratic fundraising or polling traction. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the Republican Party an 81.5% implied probability of holding the seat on November 3, consistent with these structural factors and the absence of late-cycle developments that would alter the race’s fundamentals.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAZ-08 House Election Winner
AZ-08 House Election Winner
$10,122 Wol.
$10,122 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
82%
Democratic Party
18%
$10,122 Wol.
$10,122 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$4,204 Wol.
82%
Democratic Party
$5,917 Wol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Abraham Hamadeh secured the Republican nomination unopposed in Arizona’s 8th Congressional District primary on July 21, 2026, while Bernadette Greene-Placentia won the Democratic primary. The district carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and delivered Republican presidential margins exceeding 13 points in recent cycles. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the general election contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the seat’s consistent partisan lean, Hamadeh’s incumbency, and limited Democratic fundraising or polling traction. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the Republican Party an 81.5% implied probability of holding the seat on November 3, consistent with these structural factors and the absence of late-cycle developments that would alter the race’s fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Wolumen
$10,122Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Abraham Hamadeh secured the Republican nomination unopposed in Arizona’s 8th Congressional District primary on July 21, 2026, while Bernadette Greene-Placentia won the Democratic primary. The district carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and delivered Republican presidential margins exceeding 13 points in recent cycles. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the general election contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the seat’s consistent partisan lean, Hamadeh’s incumbency, and limited Democratic fundraising or polling traction. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the Republican Party an 81.5% implied probability of holding the seat on November 3, consistent with these structural factors and the absence of late-cycle developments that would alter the race’s fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$10,122Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Abraham Hamadeh secured the Republican nomination unopposed in Arizona’s 8th Congressional District primary on July 21, 2026, while Bernadette Greene-Placentia won the Democratic primary. The district carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and delivered Republican presidential margins exceeding 13 points in recent cycles. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the general election contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the seat’s consistent partisan lean, Hamadeh’s incumbency, and limited Democratic fundraising or polling traction. Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the Republican Party an 81.5% implied probability of holding the seat on November 3, consistent with these structural factors and the absence of late-cycle developments that would alter the race’s fundamentals.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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