Iliana Iotova holds a commanding lead in the October 25 Bulgarian presidential election as the incumbent who assumed office in January 2026 following Rumen Radev’s resignation. She campaigns as an independent backed by an initiative committee, with endorsements from Progressive Bulgaria—the party that secured a parliamentary majority in the April 2026 vote—alongside BSP-OL and allied groups. A July Global Metrics survey showed her with roughly 50 percent support, reflecting broad name recognition and consolidation among ruling coalition voters. Andrey Gyurov, the former caretaker prime minister and PP-DB nominee, trails with about 23 percent in the same polling, drawing primarily reform-oriented backing but limited crossover appeal. Other declared or potential candidates register minimal traction ahead of the registration deadline. Trader pricing reflects Iotova’s institutional position and early polling edge, while Gyurov remains the clearest alternative if opposition forces consolidate before the first-round vote.