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icon for Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Świat·Kanada

Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Świat·Kanada

Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Guillaume Langlois 45%

Jérôme Gagnon 44%

Donald Martel 44%

Sophie Martinbeault 25%

Polymarket
NOWE

Guillaume Langlois 45%

Jérôme Gagnon 44%

Donald Martel 44%

Sophie Martinbeault 25%

Polymarket
NOWE
icon for Guillaume Langlois

Guillaume Langlois

$0 Wol.

45%

icon for Jérôme Gagnon

Jérôme Gagnon

$0 Wol.

44%

icon for Donald Martel

Donald Martel

$0 Wol.

44%

icon for Sophie Martinbeault

Sophie Martinbeault

$0 Wol.

25%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Nicolet-Bécancour riding, trader probabilities remain closely balanced among incumbent Donald Martel of the Coalition Avenir Québec, Jérôme Gagnon of the Parti Québécois, and Guillaume Langlois of the Parti Conservateur du Québec, reflecting a competitive three-way contest shaped by provincial trends and local candidate strength ahead of the October 5 vote. Martel, a sitting minister, faces headwinds from CAQ declines elsewhere in Quebec, while Gagnon's May investiture win and Langlois's June confirmation as a rural physician emphasizing health access have bolstered their respective campaigns. Recent 338Canada projections highlight narrow popular vote margins among the three parties, with limited separation expected until the full nomination period closes and early voting patterns emerge. Sophie Martinbeault of the Quebec Liberal Party trails further behind in this fragmented field.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Wolumen
$0
Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Źródło rozstrzygnięcia

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Nicolet-Bécancour riding, trader probabilities remain closely balanced among incumbent Donald Martel of the Coalition Avenir Québec, Jérôme Gagnon of the Parti Québécois, and Guillaume Langlois of the Parti Conservateur du Québec, reflecting a competitive three-way contest shaped by provincial trends and local candidate strength ahead of the October 5 vote. Martel, a sitting minister, faces headwinds from CAQ declines elsewhere in Quebec, while Gagnon's May investiture win and Langlois's June confirmation as a rural physician emphasizing health access have bolstered their respective campaigns. Recent 338Canada projections highlight narrow popular vote margins among the three parties, with limited separation expected until the full nomination period closes and early voting patterns emerge. Sophie Martinbeault of the Quebec Liberal Party trails further behind in this fragmented field.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Wolumen
$0
Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Źródło rozstrzygnięcia

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Często zadawane pytania

"Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 4 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Guillaume Langlois" z 45%, za nim "Jérôme Gagnon" z 44%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 45¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 45% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Aug 31, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner", przeglądaj 4 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" jest "Guillaume Langlois" z 45%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 45% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Jérôme Gagnon" z 44%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.