Skip to main content
icon for Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Świat·International Election Props

Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Świat·International Election Props

Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Gertrude Bourdon 46%

Claude Villeneuve 45%

Sol Zanetti 44%

Nathalie St-Pierre 27%

Polymarket
NOWE

Gertrude Bourdon 46%

Claude Villeneuve 45%

Sol Zanetti 44%

Nathalie St-Pierre 27%

Polymarket
NOWE
icon for Gertrude Bourdon

Gertrude Bourdon

$0 Wol.

46%

icon for Claude Villeneuve

Claude Villeneuve

$0 Wol.

45%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$0 Wol.

44%

icon for Nathalie St-Pierre

Nathalie St-Pierre

$0 Wol.

27%

icon for Nancy Joannette

Nancy Joannette

$0 Wol.

27%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Jean-Lesage riding remains a closely contested toss-up ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, with trader pricing reflecting narrow gaps among Sol Zanetti (Québec solidaire incumbent), Claude Villeneuve (Parti québécois), Gertrude Bourdon (Parti libéral du Québec), and supporting candidates. Recent developments, including the August 27 writ drop and Villeneuve’s August 24 nomination, have kept probabilities balanced, as 338Canada and Qc125 projections show QS and PQ vote shares within a few points in this Capitale-Nationale district. Incumbency advantages for Zanetti compete with PQ momentum in provincial polling, while lower shares for CAQ, CPQ, and Liberal options underscore limited paths to victory for those parties. Further separation could emerge from riding-specific polls, debate performances, or shifts in turnout among urban and sovereignty-focused voters before the September 17 nomination deadline.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Wolumen
$0
Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Źródło rozstrzygnięcia

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Jean-Lesage riding remains a closely contested toss-up ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, with trader pricing reflecting narrow gaps among Sol Zanetti (Québec solidaire incumbent), Claude Villeneuve (Parti québécois), Gertrude Bourdon (Parti libéral du Québec), and supporting candidates. Recent developments, including the August 27 writ drop and Villeneuve’s August 24 nomination, have kept probabilities balanced, as 338Canada and Qc125 projections show QS and PQ vote shares within a few points in this Capitale-Nationale district. Incumbency advantages for Zanetti compete with PQ momentum in provincial polling, while lower shares for CAQ, CPQ, and Liberal options underscore limited paths to victory for those parties. Further separation could emerge from riding-specific polls, debate performances, or shifts in turnout among urban and sovereignty-focused voters before the September 17 nomination deadline.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Wolumen
$0
Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Źródło rozstrzygnięcia

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

Powiązane

icon for Will Chloé Fauchon win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?

Will Chloé Fauchon win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?

61%
icon for Will Andrés Fontecilla win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election?

Will Andrés Fontecilla win the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election?

44%
icon for Will Maude Brossard-Sabourin win the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election?

Will Maude Brossard-Sabourin win the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election?

46%

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 5 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Gertrude Bourdon" z 46%, za nim "Claude Villeneuve" z 45%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 46¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 46% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Aug 31, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner", przeglądaj 5 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" jest "Gertrude Bourdon" z 46%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 46% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Claude Villeneuve" z 45%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.