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icon for Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Świat·International Election Props

Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Świat·International Election Props

Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Marc-Antoine Bernier 42%

Chloé Fauchon 39%

Marcos Archambault 28%

Richard Bélanger 26%

Polymarket
NOWE

Marc-Antoine Bernier 42%

Chloé Fauchon 39%

Marcos Archambault 28%

Richard Bélanger 26%

Polymarket
NOWE
icon for Marc-Antoine Bernier

Marc-Antoine Bernier

$0 Wol.

42%

icon for Chloé Fauchon

Chloé Fauchon

$6 Wol.

61%

icon for Marcos Archambault

Marcos Archambault

$0 Wol.

28%

icon for Richard Bélanger

Richard Bélanger

$0 Wol.

26%

icon for Anne-Sophie Roy

Anne-Sophie Roy

$0 Wol.

25%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Chloé Fauchon of the Parti Québécois holds the highest implied probability at 61% in trader consensus for the Louis-Hébert seat in the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election. The riding, previously held by retiring CAQ incumbent Geneviève Guilbault, features a competitive matchup with CAQ candidate Marc-Antoine Bernier at 43%, alongside lower probabilities for QS’s Anne-Sophie Roy, PCQ’s Marcos Archambault, and Liberal Richard Bélanger. Recent developments include the August 27 writ drop and ongoing nomination period ending September 17, amid provincial polling trends favoring PQ gains in Capitale-Nationale ridings through emphasis on housing affordability, public services, and sovereignty messaging. Traders appear to weigh Fauchon’s profile as a public-interest lawyer against Bernier’s continuity with the governing party in a seat projected as a close PQ-CAQ contest by models like 338Canada.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Wolumen
$6
Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Źródło rozstrzygnięcia

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Chloé Fauchon of the Parti Québécois holds the highest implied probability at 61% in trader consensus for the Louis-Hébert seat in the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election. The riding, previously held by retiring CAQ incumbent Geneviève Guilbault, features a competitive matchup with CAQ candidate Marc-Antoine Bernier at 43%, alongside lower probabilities for QS’s Anne-Sophie Roy, PCQ’s Marcos Archambault, and Liberal Richard Bélanger. Recent developments include the August 27 writ drop and ongoing nomination period ending September 17, amid provincial polling trends favoring PQ gains in Capitale-Nationale ridings through emphasis on housing affordability, public services, and sovereignty messaging. Traders appear to weigh Fauchon’s profile as a public-interest lawyer against Bernier’s continuity with the governing party in a seat projected as a close PQ-CAQ contest by models like 338Canada.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Wolumen
$6
Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Źródło rozstrzygnięcia

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Często zadawane pytania

"Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 5 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Chloé Fauchon" z 61%, za nim "Marc-Antoine Bernier" z 42%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 61¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 61% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Aug 31, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner", przeglądaj 5 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" jest "Chloé Fauchon" z 61%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 61% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Marc-Antoine Bernier" z 42%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.