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icon for Groulx Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Świat·Kanada

Groulx Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Groulx Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Świat·Kanada

Groulx Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Eric Girard 45%

Marie-Claude Sarrazin 44%

Julie Tourangeau 44%

Marie-Noëlle Aubertin 27%

Polymarket
NOWE

Eric Girard 45%

Marie-Claude Sarrazin 44%

Julie Tourangeau 44%

Marie-Noëlle Aubertin 27%

Polymarket
NOWE
icon for Eric Girard

Eric Girard

$0 Wol.

45%

icon for Marie-Claude Sarrazin

Marie-Claude Sarrazin

$0 Wol.

44%

icon for Julie Tourangeau

Julie Tourangeau

$0 Wol.

44%

icon for Marie-Noëlle Aubertin

Marie-Noëlle Aubertin

$25 Wol.

27%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Groulx riding remains a toss-up ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, with trader consensus reflecting a tight contest between CAQ incumbent Eric Girard and PQ challenger Marie-Claude Sarrazin amid broader provincial volatility. Recent polling aggregates show the PQ narrowing the gap on the CAQ in francophone suburban ridings following the writ drop on August 27, while Girard's incumbency and ministerial profile provide a modest buffer against the shift. Liberal candidate Julie Tourangeau and QS nominee Marie-Noëlle Aubertin trail further back, with support fragmented across smaller parties. Limited riding-specific data since the new electoral map and nomination deadline approaching September 17 sustain the close pricing, as any late provincial momentum or turnout surge among nationalist voters could separate the frontrunners.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Wolumen
$25
Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Źródło rozstrzygnięcia

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Groulx riding remains a toss-up ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, with trader consensus reflecting a tight contest between CAQ incumbent Eric Girard and PQ challenger Marie-Claude Sarrazin amid broader provincial volatility. Recent polling aggregates show the PQ narrowing the gap on the CAQ in francophone suburban ridings following the writ drop on August 27, while Girard's incumbency and ministerial profile provide a modest buffer against the shift. Liberal candidate Julie Tourangeau and QS nominee Marie-Noëlle Aubertin trail further back, with support fragmented across smaller parties. Limited riding-specific data since the new electoral map and nomination deadline approaching September 17 sustain the close pricing, as any late provincial momentum or turnout surge among nationalist voters could separate the frontrunners.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Wolumen
$25
Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Źródło rozstrzygnięcia

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Często zadawane pytania

"Groulx Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 4 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Eric Girard" z 45%, za nim "Marie-Claude Sarrazin" z 44%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 45¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 45% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Groulx Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Aug 31, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Groulx Quebec National Assembly Election Winner", przeglądaj 4 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Groulx Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" jest "Eric Girard" z 45%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 45% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Marie-Claude Sarrazin" z 44%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Groulx Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.