Incumbent Democratic Representative Kevin Mullin secured the party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with strong margins, facing Republican challenger Charles Hoelter in the November general election for California's 15th congressional district. The seat's pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in voter registration advantages and historical results exceeding 70 percent for the party, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Mullin's established incumbency and the district's partisan voting index further reinforce this positioning. Shifts could occur from late developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, major scandals affecting either nominee, or an unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout patterns in this safely Democratic area.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCA-15 House Election Winner
CA-15 House Election Winner
$121,677 Wol.
$121,677 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
2%
$121,677 Wol.
$121,677 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$93,610 Wol.
95%
Republican Party
$28,067 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Kevin Mullin secured the party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with strong margins, facing Republican challenger Charles Hoelter in the November general election for California's 15th congressional district. The seat's pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in voter registration advantages and historical results exceeding 70 percent for the party, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Mullin's established incumbency and the district's partisan voting index further reinforce this positioning. Shifts could occur from late developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, major scandals affecting either nominee, or an unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout patterns in this safely Democratic area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$121,677Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Kevin Mullin secured the party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with strong margins, facing Republican challenger Charles Hoelter in the November general election for California's 15th congressional district. The seat's pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in voter registration advantages and historical results exceeding 70 percent for the party, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Mullin's established incumbency and the district's partisan voting index further reinforce this positioning. Shifts could occur from late developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, major scandals affecting either nominee, or an unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout patterns in this safely Democratic area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$121,677Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Kevin Mullin secured the party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with strong margins, facing Republican challenger Charles Hoelter in the November general election for California's 15th congressional district. The seat's pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in voter registration advantages and historical results exceeding 70 percent for the party, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. Mullin's established incumbency and the district's partisan voting index further reinforce this positioning. Shifts could occur from late developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, major scandals affecting either nominee, or an unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout patterns in this safely Democratic area.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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