California's 48th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50, now leans Democratic with voter registration at 37% Democratic, 33% Republican, and 22% no party preference. Incumbent Republican Darrell Issa retired, creating an open seat that multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate as a likely or safe Democratic pickup. In the June 2026 primary, Republican Jim Desmond and Democrat Marni von Wilpert advanced to the November general election. The district's shifted partisan composition and open-seat dynamics have shaped trader consensus reflected in current market pricing, with limited late developments altering the balance ahead of the fall campaign.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCA-48 House Election Winner
CA-48 House Election Winner
$31,128 Wol.
$31,128 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
89%
Republican Party
11%
$31,128 Wol.
$31,128 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,125 Wol.
89%
Republican Party
$15,003 Wol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 48th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50, now leans Democratic with voter registration at 37% Democratic, 33% Republican, and 22% no party preference. Incumbent Republican Darrell Issa retired, creating an open seat that multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate as a likely or safe Democratic pickup. In the June 2026 primary, Republican Jim Desmond and Democrat Marni von Wilpert advanced to the November general election. The district's shifted partisan composition and open-seat dynamics have shaped trader consensus reflected in current market pricing, with limited late developments altering the balance ahead of the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$31,128Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 48th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50, now leans Democratic with voter registration at 37% Democratic, 33% Republican, and 22% no party preference. Incumbent Republican Darrell Issa retired, creating an open seat that multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate as a likely or safe Democratic pickup. In the June 2026 primary, Republican Jim Desmond and Democrat Marni von Wilpert advanced to the November general election. The district's shifted partisan composition and open-seat dynamics have shaped trader consensus reflected in current market pricing, with limited late developments altering the balance ahead of the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$31,128Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 48th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50, now leans Democratic with voter registration at 37% Democratic, 33% Republican, and 22% no party preference. Incumbent Republican Darrell Issa retired, creating an open seat that multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate as a likely or safe Democratic pickup. In the June 2026 primary, Republican Jim Desmond and Democrat Marni von Wilpert advanced to the November general election. The district's shifted partisan composition and open-seat dynamics have shaped trader consensus reflected in current market pricing, with limited late developments altering the balance ahead of the fall campaign.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania