The solid Democratic lean of California's 18th congressional district, anchored by long-serving incumbent Zoe Lofgren, drives the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the 2026 House race. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting a partisan voting index that has consistently favored the party by wide margins in recent cycles. Lofgren faces only token primary opposition ahead of the June 2 top-two contest, while the Republican field remains fragmented with limited fundraising and name recognition. No major shifts in voter registration, redistricting effects, or candidate announcements have altered this baseline since early 2025. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented national swing or unforeseen withdrawal by Lofgren before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCA-18 House Election Winner
CA-18 House Election Winner
$34,710 Wol.
$34,710 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
3%
$34,710 Wol.
$34,710 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,688 Wol.
94%
Republican Party
$18,022 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solid Democratic lean of California's 18th congressional district, anchored by long-serving incumbent Zoe Lofgren, drives the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the 2026 House race. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting a partisan voting index that has consistently favored the party by wide margins in recent cycles. Lofgren faces only token primary opposition ahead of the June 2 top-two contest, while the Republican field remains fragmented with limited fundraising and name recognition. No major shifts in voter registration, redistricting effects, or candidate announcements have altered this baseline since early 2025. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented national swing or unforeseen withdrawal by Lofgren before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Wolumen
$34,710Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solid Democratic lean of California's 18th congressional district, anchored by long-serving incumbent Zoe Lofgren, drives the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the 2026 House race. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting a partisan voting index that has consistently favored the party by wide margins in recent cycles. Lofgren faces only token primary opposition ahead of the June 2 top-two contest, while the Republican field remains fragmented with limited fundraising and name recognition. No major shifts in voter registration, redistricting effects, or candidate announcements have altered this baseline since early 2025. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented national swing or unforeseen withdrawal by Lofgren before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$34,710Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solid Democratic lean of California's 18th congressional district, anchored by long-serving incumbent Zoe Lofgren, drives the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic victory in the 2026 House race. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting a partisan voting index that has consistently favored the party by wide margins in recent cycles. Lofgren faces only token primary opposition ahead of the June 2 top-two contest, while the Republican field remains fragmented with limited fundraising and name recognition. No major shifts in voter registration, redistricting effects, or candidate announcements have altered this baseline since early 2025. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented national swing or unforeseen withdrawal by Lofgren before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania