President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s current term, secured in the 2023 election under Turkey’s presidential system, runs through 2028, with the next scheduled vote no later than May of that year. Recent developments, including court actions that have weakened opposition figures such as Istanbul mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu and CHP leader Özgür Özel, alongside parliamentary passage of measures addressing the PKK conflict, have reinforced the ruling AKP’s institutional position. Discussions of snap elections or constitutional changes to permit another term continue, yet the party lacks the required supermajority, and Erdoğan has publicly indicated plans to conclude his tenure in 2028. These factors underpin trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability that he remains in office beyond December 31, 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
6% szansa
$612,190 Wol.
$612,190 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Zarabiaj 3.25%
6% szansa
$612,190 Wol.
$612,190 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Zarabiaj 3.25%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s current term, secured in the 2023 election under Turkey’s presidential system, runs through 2028, with the next scheduled vote no later than May of that year. Recent developments, including court actions that have weakened opposition figures such as Istanbul mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu and CHP leader Özgür Özel, alongside parliamentary passage of measures addressing the PKK conflict, have reinforced the ruling AKP’s institutional position. Discussions of snap elections or constitutional changes to permit another term continue, yet the party lacks the required supermajority, and Erdoğan has publicly indicated plans to conclude his tenure in 2028. These factors underpin trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability that he remains in office beyond December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Wolumen
$612,190Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s current term, secured in the 2023 election under Turkey’s presidential system, runs through 2028, with the next scheduled vote no later than May of that year. Recent developments, including court actions that have weakened opposition figures such as Istanbul mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu and CHP leader Özgür Özel, alongside parliamentary passage of measures addressing the PKK conflict, have reinforced the ruling AKP’s institutional position. Discussions of snap elections or constitutional changes to permit another term continue, yet the party lacks the required supermajority, and Erdoğan has publicly indicated plans to conclude his tenure in 2028. These factors underpin trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability that he remains in office beyond December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$612,190Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s current term, secured in the 2023 election under Turkey’s presidential system, runs through 2028, with the next scheduled vote no later than May of that year. Recent developments, including court actions that have weakened opposition figures such as Istanbul mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu and CHP leader Özgür Özel, alongside parliamentary passage of measures addressing the PKK conflict, have reinforced the ruling AKP’s institutional position. Discussions of snap elections or constitutional changes to permit another term continue, yet the party lacks the required supermajority, and Erdoğan has publicly indicated plans to conclude his tenure in 2028. These factors underpin trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% implied probability that he remains in office beyond December 31, 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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