Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models indicate peak temperatures in Ankara on September 6, 2026, most likely reaching 30–32°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of late summer. This setup favors strong daytime heating with minimal cloud interference or precipitation, placing the market’s closely matched 31°C and 32°C outcomes at the center of trader focus. Minor divergences in ensemble runs, local urban heat effects, and exact afternoon peak timing explain the split between these probabilities, while the slim chance of 33°C reflects uncertainty in maximum insolation. Updated model guidance and official bulletins over the next 48 hours will refine the precise daily maximum used for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Ankara on September 6?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 6?
32°C 44%
31°C 41%
33°C 12%
30°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 6, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
41%
32°C
44%
33°C
12%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 44%
31°C 41%
33°C 12%
30°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 6, 2026
26°C or below
$128 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$129 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$34 Wol.
3%
29°C
$188 Wol.
2%
30°C
$627 Wol.
6%
31°C
$753 Wol.
41%
32°C
$1,094 Wol.
44%
33°C
$449 Wol.
12%
34°C
$150 Wol.
3%
35°C
$63 Wol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$125 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models indicate peak temperatures in Ankara on September 6, 2026, most likely reaching 30–32°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of late summer. This setup favors strong daytime heating with minimal cloud interference or precipitation, placing the market’s closely matched 31°C and 32°C outcomes at the center of trader focus. Minor divergences in ensemble runs, local urban heat effects, and exact afternoon peak timing explain the split between these probabilities, while the slim chance of 33°C reflects uncertainty in maximum insolation. Updated model guidance and official bulletins over the next 48 hours will refine the precise daily maximum used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,741Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models indicate peak temperatures in Ankara on September 6, 2026, most likely reaching 30–32°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of late summer. This setup favors strong daytime heating with minimal cloud interference or precipitation, placing the market’s closely matched 31°C and 32°C outcomes at the center of trader focus. Minor divergences in ensemble runs, local urban heat effects, and exact afternoon peak timing explain the split between these probabilities, while the slim chance of 33°C reflects uncertainty in maximum insolation. Updated model guidance and official bulletins over the next 48 hours will refine the precise daily maximum used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,741Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and global models indicate peak temperatures in Ankara on September 6, 2026, most likely reaching 30–32°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northwesterly winds, and stable high-pressure conditions typical of late summer. This setup favors strong daytime heating with minimal cloud interference or precipitation, placing the market’s closely matched 31°C and 32°C outcomes at the center of trader focus. Minor divergences in ensemble runs, local urban heat effects, and exact afternoon peak timing explain the split between these probabilities, while the slim chance of 33°C reflects uncertainty in maximum insolation. Updated model guidance and official bulletins over the next 48 hours will refine the precise daily maximum used for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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