Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and local meteorological services indicate a maximum temperature of 28–29 °C for Ankara on September 4 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and negligible cloud cover. This range aligns with the seasonal decline from peak summer values and the city’s typical early-September climatology of roughly 27 °C daytime highs at its 900 m elevation. Minor differences among ensemble members stem from small variations in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of peak insolation, keeping 28 °C and 29 °C nearly tied in trader-implied odds while limiting support for 30 °C or higher. Updated short-range guidance issued on September 3 will further refine the precise peak before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Ankara on September 4?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 4?
28°C 39%
29°C 39%
27°C 10%
30°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
10%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C
10%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 39%
29°C 39%
27°C 10%
30°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
24°C or below
$80 Wol.
1%
25°C
$60 Wol.
2%
26°C
$223 Wol.
2%
27°C
$117 Wol.
10%
28°C
$233 Wol.
39%
29°C
$257 Wol.
39%
30°C
$169 Wol.
10%
31°C
$63 Wol.
3%
32°C
$0 Wol.
1%
33°C
$271 Wol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$277 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and local meteorological services indicate a maximum temperature of 28–29 °C for Ankara on September 4 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and negligible cloud cover. This range aligns with the seasonal decline from peak summer values and the city’s typical early-September climatology of roughly 27 °C daytime highs at its 900 m elevation. Minor differences among ensemble members stem from small variations in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of peak insolation, keeping 28 °C and 29 °C nearly tied in trader-implied odds while limiting support for 30 °C or higher. Updated short-range guidance issued on September 3 will further refine the precise peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,751Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and local meteorological services indicate a maximum temperature of 28–29 °C for Ankara on September 4 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and negligible cloud cover. This range aligns with the seasonal decline from peak summer values and the city’s typical early-September climatology of roughly 27 °C daytime highs at its 900 m elevation. Minor differences among ensemble members stem from small variations in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of peak insolation, keeping 28 °C and 29 °C nearly tied in trader-implied odds while limiting support for 30 °C or higher. Updated short-range guidance issued on September 3 will further refine the precise peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,751Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and local meteorological services indicate a maximum temperature of 28–29 °C for Ankara on September 4 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and negligible cloud cover. This range aligns with the seasonal decline from peak summer values and the city’s typical early-September climatology of roughly 27 °C daytime highs at its 900 m elevation. Minor differences among ensemble members stem from small variations in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of peak insolation, keeping 28 °C and 29 °C nearly tied in trader-implied odds while limiting support for 30 °C or higher. Updated short-range guidance issued on September 3 will further refine the precise peak before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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