Recent meteorological model consensus from agencies including Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicates a highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 15 most likely near 15–16°C, aligning with the market's closely matched implied probabilities of 30.5% for 15°C and 31.5% for 16°C. Mild winter conditions, moderate northerly flow, and limited daytime heating under variable cloud cover support this narrow range, while slight model disagreements on wind speed and timing create the tight spread with 17°C at 21.5%. Historical August averages near 16°C provide context, but short-term forecast revisions expected overnight will likely refine trader consensus ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 15?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 15?
16°C 32%
15°C 31%
17°C 22%
14°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 15, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
6%
15°C
31%
16°C
32%
17°C
22%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 32%
15°C 31%
17°C 22%
14°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 15, 2026
12°C or below
$170 Wol.
1%
13°C
$368 Wol.
3%
14°C
$132 Wol.
6%
15°C
$1,332 Wol.
31%
16°C
$5,073 Wol.
32%
17°C
$337 Wol.
22%
18°C
$217 Wol.
5%
19°C
$74 Wol.
2%
20°C
$143 Wol.
1%
21°C
$38 Wol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$166 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from agencies including Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicates a highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 15 most likely near 15–16°C, aligning with the market's closely matched implied probabilities of 30.5% for 15°C and 31.5% for 16°C. Mild winter conditions, moderate northerly flow, and limited daytime heating under variable cloud cover support this narrow range, while slight model disagreements on wind speed and timing create the tight spread with 17°C at 21.5%. Historical August averages near 16°C provide context, but short-term forecast revisions expected overnight will likely refine trader consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Wolumen
$8,050Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from agencies including Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicates a highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 15 most likely near 15–16°C, aligning with the market's closely matched implied probabilities of 30.5% for 15°C and 31.5% for 16°C. Mild winter conditions, moderate northerly flow, and limited daytime heating under variable cloud cover support this narrow range, while slight model disagreements on wind speed and timing create the tight spread with 17°C at 21.5%. Historical August averages near 16°C provide context, but short-term forecast revisions expected overnight will likely refine trader consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8,050Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological model consensus from agencies including Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicates a highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 15 most likely near 15–16°C, aligning with the market's closely matched implied probabilities of 30.5% for 15°C and 31.5% for 16°C. Mild winter conditions, moderate northerly flow, and limited daytime heating under variable cloud cover support this narrow range, while slight model disagreements on wind speed and timing create the tight spread with 17°C at 21.5%. Historical August averages near 16°C provide context, but short-term forecast revisions expected overnight will likely refine trader consensus ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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