Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles points to peak temperatures of 36–37°C in Chongqing on September 6 under mostly clear skies and light southeasterly flow, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Persistent high-pressure ridging has driven above-normal insolation and minimal cloud cover or precipitation over the past several days, allowing daytime heating to build steadily from current readings near 34°C. Low dew points and modest wind speeds limit evaporative cooling, while climatological September baselines around 30–32°C underscore the anomalous warmth. Updated model runs through the weekend will refine any subtle steering or moisture shifts that could tip the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 6?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 6?
37°C 31%
36°C 28%
38°C 15%
35°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 6, 2026
31°C or below
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
9%
34°C
9%
35°C
12%
36°C
28%
37°C
31%
38°C
15%
39°C
10%
40°C
7%
41°C or higher
3%
37°C 31%
36°C 28%
38°C 15%
35°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 6, 2026
31°C or below
$45 Wol.
3%
32°C
$0 Wol.
1%
33°C
$0 Wol.
9%
34°C
$0 Wol.
9%
35°C
$0 Wol.
12%
36°C
$3 Wol.
28%
37°C
$30 Wol.
31%
38°C
$63 Wol.
15%
39°C
$33 Wol.
10%
40°C
$7 Wol.
7%
41°C or higher
$300 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles points to peak temperatures of 36–37°C in Chongqing on September 6 under mostly clear skies and light southeasterly flow, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Persistent high-pressure ridging has driven above-normal insolation and minimal cloud cover or precipitation over the past several days, allowing daytime heating to build steadily from current readings near 34°C. Low dew points and modest wind speeds limit evaporative cooling, while climatological September baselines around 30–32°C underscore the anomalous warmth. Updated model runs through the weekend will refine any subtle steering or moisture shifts that could tip the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$480Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles points to peak temperatures of 36–37°C in Chongqing on September 6 under mostly clear skies and light southeasterly flow, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Persistent high-pressure ridging has driven above-normal insolation and minimal cloud cover or precipitation over the past several days, allowing daytime heating to build steadily from current readings near 34°C. Low dew points and modest wind speeds limit evaporative cooling, while climatological September baselines around 30–32°C underscore the anomalous warmth. Updated model runs through the weekend will refine any subtle steering or moisture shifts that could tip the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$480Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles points to peak temperatures of 36–37°C in Chongqing on September 6 under mostly clear skies and light southeasterly flow, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Persistent high-pressure ridging has driven above-normal insolation and minimal cloud cover or precipitation over the past several days, allowing daytime heating to build steadily from current readings near 34°C. Low dew points and modest wind speeds limit evaporative cooling, while climatological September baselines around 30–32°C underscore the anomalous warmth. Updated model runs through the weekend will refine any subtle steering or moisture shifts that could tip the daily maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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