National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs point to afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 80s for Denver on August 15, with the strongest consensus near 82–83 °F amid scattered thunderstorms. Persistent monsoon moisture and a weak upper-level trough are fostering convective development that typically peaks after peak heating, limiting solar insolation and producing modest cooling from cloud cover and outflow boundaries. Recent observations show the prior 48 hours trending slightly cooler than climatological normals (August average high ~88 °F), keeping the 80–81 °F bin competitive while suppressing odds of 86 °F or higher. Updated short-range model runs and NWS area forecasts arriving overnight will refine convective timing and maximum temperature potential ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Denver on August 15?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 15?
82-83°F 38%
80-81°F 31%
84-85°F 18%
78-79°F 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 15, 2026
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
31%
82-83°F
38%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 38%
80-81°F 31%
84-85°F 18%
78-79°F 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 15, 2026
73°F or below
$147 Wol.
1%
74-75°F
$85 Wol.
1%
76-77°F
$329 Wol.
3%
78-79°F
$540 Wol.
7%
80-81°F
$151 Wol.
31%
82-83°F
$155 Wol.
38%
84-85°F
$408 Wol.
18%
86-87°F
$239 Wol.
3%
88-89°F
$175 Wol.
1%
90-91°F
$102 Wol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$291 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs point to afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 80s for Denver on August 15, with the strongest consensus near 82–83 °F amid scattered thunderstorms. Persistent monsoon moisture and a weak upper-level trough are fostering convective development that typically peaks after peak heating, limiting solar insolation and producing modest cooling from cloud cover and outflow boundaries. Recent observations show the prior 48 hours trending slightly cooler than climatological normals (August average high ~88 °F), keeping the 80–81 °F bin competitive while suppressing odds of 86 °F or higher. Updated short-range model runs and NWS area forecasts arriving overnight will refine convective timing and maximum temperature potential ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,622Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs point to afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 80s for Denver on August 15, with the strongest consensus near 82–83 °F amid scattered thunderstorms. Persistent monsoon moisture and a weak upper-level trough are fostering convective development that typically peaks after peak heating, limiting solar insolation and producing modest cooling from cloud cover and outflow boundaries. Recent observations show the prior 48 hours trending slightly cooler than climatological normals (August average high ~88 °F), keeping the 80–81 °F bin competitive while suppressing odds of 86 °F or higher. Updated short-range model runs and NWS area forecasts arriving overnight will refine convective timing and maximum temperature potential ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,622Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs point to afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 80s for Denver on August 15, with the strongest consensus near 82–83 °F amid scattered thunderstorms. Persistent monsoon moisture and a weak upper-level trough are fostering convective development that typically peaks after peak heating, limiting solar insolation and producing modest cooling from cloud cover and outflow boundaries. Recent observations show the prior 48 hours trending slightly cooler than climatological normals (August average high ~88 °F), keeping the 80–81 °F bin competitive while suppressing odds of 86 °F or higher. Updated short-range model runs and NWS area forecasts arriving overnight will refine convective timing and maximum temperature potential ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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