Recent official guidance from Chinese meteorological services and international models points to a daily maximum near 36°C in Guangzhou on August 13, aligning with the market's leading implied probability. Subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity, limited daytime cloud cover, and strong solar heating support this range, while afternoon thunderstorm development—already indicated in forecasts—could introduce evaporative cooling and cap values at or below 37°C. Historical August baselines average 32–33°C, but recent patterns of subsiding air have elevated readings into the mid-30s. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 35°C and 37°C outcomes against model consensus and the timing of convective activity expected during peak heating hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 13?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 13?
36°C 45%
35°C 23%
37°C 21%
34°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 13, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
3%
34°C
7%
35°C
23%
36°C
45%
37°C
21%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
<1%
36°C 45%
35°C 23%
37°C 21%
34°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 13, 2026
29°C or below
$464 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$341 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$275 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$582 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$649 Wol.
3%
34°C
$321 Wol.
7%
35°C
$265 Wol.
23%
36°C
$717 Wol.
45%
37°C
$935 Wol.
21%
38°C
$423 Wol.
4%
39°C or higher
$1,369 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official guidance from Chinese meteorological services and international models points to a daily maximum near 36°C in Guangzhou on August 13, aligning with the market's leading implied probability. Subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity, limited daytime cloud cover, and strong solar heating support this range, while afternoon thunderstorm development—already indicated in forecasts—could introduce evaporative cooling and cap values at or below 37°C. Historical August baselines average 32–33°C, but recent patterns of subsiding air have elevated readings into the mid-30s. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 35°C and 37°C outcomes against model consensus and the timing of convective activity expected during peak heating hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,341Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official guidance from Chinese meteorological services and international models points to a daily maximum near 36°C in Guangzhou on August 13, aligning with the market's leading implied probability. Subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity, limited daytime cloud cover, and strong solar heating support this range, while afternoon thunderstorm development—already indicated in forecasts—could introduce evaporative cooling and cap values at or below 37°C. Historical August baselines average 32–33°C, but recent patterns of subsiding air have elevated readings into the mid-30s. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 35°C and 37°C outcomes against model consensus and the timing of convective activity expected during peak heating hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$6,341Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official guidance from Chinese meteorological services and international models points to a daily maximum near 36°C in Guangzhou on August 13, aligning with the market's leading implied probability. Subtropical summer conditions featuring high humidity, limited daytime cloud cover, and strong solar heating support this range, while afternoon thunderstorm development—already indicated in forecasts—could introduce evaporative cooling and cap values at or below 37°C. Historical August baselines average 32–33°C, but recent patterns of subsiding air have elevated readings into the mid-30s. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 35°C and 37°C outcomes against model consensus and the timing of convective activity expected during peak heating hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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