**Forecast models from sources including the BBC, timeanddate, and regional meteorological services consistently project daytime highs of 31–34°C for Jinan on August 15, 2026, well above the 26°C threshold amid typical midsummer conditions in Shandong province.** August climatology shows average highs near 30–33°C with frequent exceedances of 35°C, supported by current atmospheric patterns favoring warmth despite possible thundershowers. Trader consensus at 99.6% for 26°C or higher reflects this strong model agreement and historical precedent, with real-capital positioning underscoring confidence in official guidance. Realistic challenges remain limited to an unexpected cold-front passage or major forecast revision, though ensemble runs show little divergence at this short range. Final resolution will hinge on verified maximum observations from local stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Jinan on August 15?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 15?
26°C or higher 99.6%
23°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 15, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 99.6%
23°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 15, 2026
16°C or below
$232 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$232 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$232 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$232 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$222 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$152 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$152 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$152 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$152 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$151 Wol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$608 Wol.
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the BBC, timeanddate, and regional meteorological services consistently project daytime highs of 31–34°C for Jinan on August 15, 2026, well above the 26°C threshold amid typical midsummer conditions in Shandong province.**
August climatology shows average highs near 30–33°C with frequent exceedances of 35°C, supported by current atmospheric patterns favoring warmth despite possible thundershowers. Trader consensus at 99.6% for 26°C or higher reflects this strong model agreement and historical precedent, with real-capital positioning underscoring confidence in official guidance.
Realistic challenges remain limited to an unexpected cold-front passage or major forecast revision, though ensemble runs show little divergence at this short range. Final resolution will hinge on verified maximum observations from local stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,515Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the BBC, timeanddate, and regional meteorological services consistently project daytime highs of 31–34°C for Jinan on August 15, 2026, well above the 26°C threshold amid typical midsummer conditions in Shandong province.**
August climatology shows average highs near 30–33°C with frequent exceedances of 35°C, supported by current atmospheric patterns favoring warmth despite possible thundershowers. Trader consensus at 99.6% for 26°C or higher reflects this strong model agreement and historical precedent, with real-capital positioning underscoring confidence in official guidance.
Realistic challenges remain limited to an unexpected cold-front passage or major forecast revision, though ensemble runs show little divergence at this short range. Final resolution will hinge on verified maximum observations from local stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,515Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including the BBC, timeanddate, and regional meteorological services consistently project daytime highs of 31–34°C for Jinan on August 15, 2026, well above the 26°C threshold amid typical midsummer conditions in Shandong province.** August climatology shows average highs near 30–33°C with frequent exceedances of 35°C, supported by current atmospheric patterns favoring warmth despite possible thundershowers. Trader consensus at 99.6% for 26°C or higher reflects this strong model agreement and historical precedent, with real-capital positioning underscoring confidence in official guidance. Realistic challenges remain limited to an unexpected cold-front passage or major forecast revision, though ensemble runs show little divergence at this short range. Final resolution will hinge on verified maximum observations from local stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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