The close contest between 30°C and 31°C as Zhengzhou’s highest temperature on August 15 stems from short-term forecast model runs showing peak daytime readings hovering near those thresholds under typical mid-August conditions. Regional pressure gradients and limited cloud cover support modest warming, while local factors such as urban heat island effects from the city’s built environment and variable wind speeds can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration station will determine resolution, with model ensembles indicating low probability of exceeding 32°C or falling below 30°C given the current atmospheric stability and absence of stronger frontal systems.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 15?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 15?
32°C or higher 24.1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
41%
31°C
47%
32°C or higher
24%
32°C or higher 24.1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
$105 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$105 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$105 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$105 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$105 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$119 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$440 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$245 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$299 Wol.
41%
31°C
$395 Wol.
47%
32°C or higher
$745 Wol.
24%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The close contest between 30°C and 31°C as Zhengzhou’s highest temperature on August 15 stems from short-term forecast model runs showing peak daytime readings hovering near those thresholds under typical mid-August conditions. Regional pressure gradients and limited cloud cover support modest warming, while local factors such as urban heat island effects from the city’s built environment and variable wind speeds can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration station will determine resolution, with model ensembles indicating low probability of exceeding 32°C or falling below 30°C given the current atmospheric stability and absence of stronger frontal systems.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,767Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The close contest between 30°C and 31°C as Zhengzhou’s highest temperature on August 15 stems from short-term forecast model runs showing peak daytime readings hovering near those thresholds under typical mid-August conditions. Regional pressure gradients and limited cloud cover support modest warming, while local factors such as urban heat island effects from the city’s built environment and variable wind speeds can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration station will determine resolution, with model ensembles indicating low probability of exceeding 32°C or falling below 30°C given the current atmospheric stability and absence of stronger frontal systems.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,767Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The close contest between 30°C and 31°C as Zhengzhou’s highest temperature on August 15 stems from short-term forecast model runs showing peak daytime readings hovering near those thresholds under typical mid-August conditions. Regional pressure gradients and limited cloud cover support modest warming, while local factors such as urban heat island effects from the city’s built environment and variable wind speeds can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration station will determine resolution, with model ensembles indicating low probability of exceeding 32°C or falling below 30°C given the current atmospheric stability and absence of stronger frontal systems.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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