Recent monsoon patterns and associated cloud cover have positioned trader consensus around 33–34°C as the most likely peak temperature for Lucknow on August 15. Official forecasts from agencies indicate highs near 32–34°C amid thundershowers and overcast skies, which limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling compared with clearer pre-monsoon conditions. Model runs highlight modest day-to-day variability driven by steering flows and localized convection, keeping outcomes tightly clustered while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 33°C provide additional context for the current market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 15?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 15?
33°C 39%
34°C 36%
35°C 15%
32°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 15, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
10%
33°C
39%
34°C
36%
35°C
15%
36°C
4%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 39%
34°C 36%
35°C 15%
32°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 15, 2026
28°C or below
$717 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$901 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$93 Wol.
1%
31°C
$159 Wol.
2%
32°C
$215 Wol.
10%
33°C
$1,016 Wol.
39%
34°C
$1,781 Wol.
36%
35°C
$721 Wol.
15%
36°C
$306 Wol.
4%
37°C
$111 Wol.
2%
38°C or higher
$183 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon patterns and associated cloud cover have positioned trader consensus around 33–34°C as the most likely peak temperature for Lucknow on August 15. Official forecasts from agencies indicate highs near 32–34°C amid thundershowers and overcast skies, which limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling compared with clearer pre-monsoon conditions. Model runs highlight modest day-to-day variability driven by steering flows and localized convection, keeping outcomes tightly clustered while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 33°C provide additional context for the current market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,203Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon patterns and associated cloud cover have positioned trader consensus around 33–34°C as the most likely peak temperature for Lucknow on August 15. Official forecasts from agencies indicate highs near 32–34°C amid thundershowers and overcast skies, which limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling compared with clearer pre-monsoon conditions. Model runs highlight modest day-to-day variability driven by steering flows and localized convection, keeping outcomes tightly clustered while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 33°C provide additional context for the current market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$6,203Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon patterns and associated cloud cover have positioned trader consensus around 33–34°C as the most likely peak temperature for Lucknow on August 15. Official forecasts from agencies indicate highs near 32–34°C amid thundershowers and overcast skies, which limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling compared with clearer pre-monsoon conditions. Model runs highlight modest day-to-day variability driven by steering flows and localized convection, keeping outcomes tightly clustered while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 33°C provide additional context for the current market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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