Ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers converge on a Moscow high near 16°C for August 13, driven by persistent cloud cover and light showers that suppress daytime solar heating and limit warming. This aligns with observed conditions, including northwest winds near 13 mph and dew points supporting modest maxima around 16–17°C. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context, but the current pattern deviates due to regional atmospheric steering and reduced insolation. Trader positioning reflects this consensus, with implied probabilities concentrated on 15–17°C outcomes as models show limited upside potential absent rapid clearing. Updated runs expected from agencies like the Met Office and regional centers will refine resolution thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on August 13?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 13?
16°C 57%
15°C 28%
17°C 15%
14°C 6%
$20,602 Wol.
$20,602 Wol.
Aug 13, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
6%
15°C
28%
16°C
56%
17°C
15%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 57%
15°C 28%
17°C 15%
14°C 6%
$20,602 Wol.
$20,602 Wol.
Aug 13, 2026
12°C or below
$1,544 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$2,789 Wol.
1%
14°C
$1,864 Wol.
6%
15°C
$2,202 Wol.
28%
16°C
$1,974 Wol.
56%
17°C
$3,032 Wol.
15%
18°C
$4,092 Wol.
2%
19°C
$514 Wol.
1%
20°C
$872 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$1,421 Wol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$383 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers converge on a Moscow high near 16°C for August 13, driven by persistent cloud cover and light showers that suppress daytime solar heating and limit warming. This aligns with observed conditions, including northwest winds near 13 mph and dew points supporting modest maxima around 16–17°C. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context, but the current pattern deviates due to regional atmospheric steering and reduced insolation. Trader positioning reflects this consensus, with implied probabilities concentrated on 15–17°C outcomes as models show limited upside potential absent rapid clearing. Updated runs expected from agencies like the Met Office and regional centers will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$20,602Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers converge on a Moscow high near 16°C for August 13, driven by persistent cloud cover and light showers that suppress daytime solar heating and limit warming. This aligns with observed conditions, including northwest winds near 13 mph and dew points supporting modest maxima around 16–17°C. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context, but the current pattern deviates due to regional atmospheric steering and reduced insolation. Trader positioning reflects this consensus, with implied probabilities concentrated on 15–17°C outcomes as models show limited upside potential absent rapid clearing. Updated runs expected from agencies like the Met Office and regional centers will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$20,602Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers converge on a Moscow high near 16°C for August 13, driven by persistent cloud cover and light showers that suppress daytime solar heating and limit warming. This aligns with observed conditions, including northwest winds near 13 mph and dew points supporting modest maxima around 16–17°C. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context, but the current pattern deviates due to regional atmospheric steering and reduced insolation. Trader positioning reflects this consensus, with implied probabilities concentrated on 15–17°C outcomes as models show limited upside potential absent rapid clearing. Updated runs expected from agencies like the Met Office and regional centers will refine resolution thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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