**Strong consensus among numerical weather prediction models and official forecasts from agencies like Rosgidromet supports a daily maximum temperature of 24°C in Moscow on August 16.** This aligns with current atmospheric conditions featuring moderate westerly flow and limited cloud cover, without incoming fronts or heat advection that would push readings higher or lower. Mid-August climatology for the region centers near 22–24°C, providing a stable baseline that current observations and ensemble runs reinforce. Market-implied odds near 100% for 24°C reflect traders' assessment of this convergence, with real-capital stakes favoring the outcome most consistent with verified station data. Only an unforeseen late-day surge or measurement revision at the primary Moscow observatory could realistically alter resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on August 16?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 16?
24°C 99.8%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$34,818 Wol.
$34,818 Wol.
Aug 16, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 99.8%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$34,818 Wol.
$34,818 Wol.
Aug 16, 2026
20°C or below
$2,620 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$2,442 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$2,006 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$8,483 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$6,381 Wol.
100%
25°C
$5,914 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$2,645 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$1,051 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$1,229 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$1,739 Wol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$308 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong consensus among numerical weather prediction models and official forecasts from agencies like Rosgidromet supports a daily maximum temperature of 24°C in Moscow on August 16.** This aligns with current atmospheric conditions featuring moderate westerly flow and limited cloud cover, without incoming fronts or heat advection that would push readings higher or lower. Mid-August climatology for the region centers near 22–24°C, providing a stable baseline that current observations and ensemble runs reinforce. Market-implied odds near 100% for 24°C reflect traders' assessment of this convergence, with real-capital stakes favoring the outcome most consistent with verified station data. Only an unforeseen late-day surge or measurement revision at the primary Moscow observatory could realistically alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$34,818Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong consensus among numerical weather prediction models and official forecasts from agencies like Rosgidromet supports a daily maximum temperature of 24°C in Moscow on August 16.** This aligns with current atmospheric conditions featuring moderate westerly flow and limited cloud cover, without incoming fronts or heat advection that would push readings higher or lower. Mid-August climatology for the region centers near 22–24°C, providing a stable baseline that current observations and ensemble runs reinforce. Market-implied odds near 100% for 24°C reflect traders' assessment of this convergence, with real-capital stakes favoring the outcome most consistent with verified station data. Only an unforeseen late-day surge or measurement revision at the primary Moscow observatory could realistically alter resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$34,818Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong consensus among numerical weather prediction models and official forecasts from agencies like Rosgidromet supports a daily maximum temperature of 24°C in Moscow on August 16.** This aligns with current atmospheric conditions featuring moderate westerly flow and limited cloud cover, without incoming fronts or heat advection that would push readings higher or lower. Mid-August climatology for the region centers near 22–24°C, providing a stable baseline that current observations and ensemble runs reinforce. Market-implied odds near 100% for 24°C reflect traders' assessment of this convergence, with real-capital stakes favoring the outcome most consistent with verified station data. Only an unforeseen late-day surge or measurement revision at the primary Moscow observatory could realistically alter resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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