Latest ensemble forecasts from regional models show Seoul's June 12 peak likely near 24–25°C under mostly clear skies, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity typical of early summer before full monsoon onset. The narrow spread between these leading outcomes reflects minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing depth, afternoon cloud development, and urban heat retention, all of which can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Stable high-pressure influence and lack of significant frontal systems keep probabilities concentrated here, with warmer 26°C+ scenarios requiring stronger insolation or reduced ventilation than currently indicated. Updated KMA and global model runs tonight will further refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul on June 12?
Highest temperature in Seoul on June 12?
25°C 37%
24°C 31%
26°C 19%
23°C 13%
NOWE
$24,863 Wol.
NOWE
$24,863 Wol.
Jun 12, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
13%
24°C
31%
25°C
37%
26°C
19%
27°C or higher
2%
25°C 37%
24°C 31%
26°C 19%
23°C 13%
NOWE
$24,863 Wol.
NOWE
$24,863 Wol.
Jun 12, 2026
17°C or below
$505 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$557 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$431 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$488 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$3,602 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$6,170 Wol.
1%
23°C
$3,212 Wol.
13%
24°C
$1,854 Wol.
31%
25°C
$2,475 Wol.
37%
26°C
$2,465 Wol.
19%
27°C or higher
$3,300 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from regional models show Seoul's June 12 peak likely near 24–25°C under mostly clear skies, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity typical of early summer before full monsoon onset. The narrow spread between these leading outcomes reflects minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing depth, afternoon cloud development, and urban heat retention, all of which can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Stable high-pressure influence and lack of significant frontal systems keep probabilities concentrated here, with warmer 26°C+ scenarios requiring stronger insolation or reduced ventilation than currently indicated. Updated KMA and global model runs tonight will further refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$24,863Data zakończenia
Jun 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from regional models show Seoul's June 12 peak likely near 24–25°C under mostly clear skies, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity typical of early summer before full monsoon onset. The narrow spread between these leading outcomes reflects minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing depth, afternoon cloud development, and urban heat retention, all of which can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Stable high-pressure influence and lack of significant frontal systems keep probabilities concentrated here, with warmer 26°C+ scenarios requiring stronger insolation or reduced ventilation than currently indicated. Updated KMA and global model runs tonight will further refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$24,863Data zakończenia
Jun 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from regional models show Seoul's June 12 peak likely near 24–25°C under mostly clear skies, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity typical of early summer before full monsoon onset. The narrow spread between these leading outcomes reflects minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing depth, afternoon cloud development, and urban heat retention, all of which can shift the daily maximum by 1°C. Stable high-pressure influence and lack of significant frontal systems keep probabilities concentrated here, with warmer 26°C+ scenarios requiring stronger insolation or reduced ventilation than currently indicated. Updated KMA and global model runs tonight will further refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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