Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models project a daytime maximum of 28–29°C in Tel Aviv on June 11 under mostly sunny skies and light westerly flow, aligning with early-June coastal climatology of 27–29°C. This consensus, reinforced by stable high-pressure ridging and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation, positions 29°C and 30°C as the leading market outcomes at 36.5% and 49.5% implied probability. Minor model spread around peak timing and boundary-layer mixing keeps a small chance for 31°C, while values outside 28–31°C remain heavily discounted. Real-time observations at Ben Gurion International Airport, the likely resolution source, will finalize the result later today.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 11?
30°C 50%
29°C 37%
31°C 9%
28°C 3.0%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
37%
30°C
50%
31°C
9%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 50%
29°C 37%
31°C 9%
28°C 3.0%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
37%
30°C
50%
31°C
9%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 9, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models project a daytime maximum of 28–29°C in Tel Aviv on June 11 under mostly sunny skies and light westerly flow, aligning with early-June coastal climatology of 27–29°C. This consensus, reinforced by stable high-pressure ridging and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze moderation, positions 29°C and 30°C as the leading market outcomes at 36.5% and 49.5% implied probability. Minor model spread around peak timing and boundary-layer mixing keeps a small chance for 31°C, while values outside 28–31°C remain heavily discounted. Real-time observations at Ben Gurion International Airport, the likely resolution source, will finalize the result later today.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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