US-mediated talks between Israeli and Lebanese officials have produced a June 2026 framework agreement outlining Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, deployment of Lebanese Armed Forces, and steps toward Hezbollah disarmament. Multiple rounds of direct Washington meetings, including military participation, have advanced this security track amid repeated ceasefire extensions and violations. Hezbollah's subsequent rejection of the deal as undermining sovereignty, combined with renewed cross-border strikes, now shapes trader assessments of whether additional high-level diplomatic sessions can occur before key deadlines. Scheduled follow-on negotiations and any escalation or de-escalation signals from Hezbollah or the US remain primary variables for near-term market movement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$156,609 Wol.
Jul 14, 2026
July 13
2%
July 14
79%
July 15
95%
July 16
96%
July 17
97%
July 31
98%
$156,609 Wol.
July 13
$5,103 Wol.
2%
July 14
$41,048 Wol.
79%
July 15
$10,105 Wol.
95%
July 16
$6,374 Wol.
96%
July 17
$50,265 Wol.
97%
July 31
$20,287 Wol.
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated talks between Israeli and Lebanese officials have produced a June 2026 framework agreement outlining Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, deployment of Lebanese Armed Forces, and steps toward Hezbollah disarmament. Multiple rounds of direct Washington meetings, including military participation, have advanced this security track amid repeated ceasefire extensions and violations. Hezbollah's subsequent rejection of the deal as undermining sovereignty, combined with renewed cross-border strikes, now shapes trader assessments of whether additional high-level diplomatic sessions can occur before key deadlines. Scheduled follow-on negotiations and any escalation or de-escalation signals from Hezbollah or the US remain primary variables for near-term market movement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 6, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Wolumen
$156,609Data zakończenia
Jul 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 6, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated talks between Israeli and Lebanese officials have produced a June 2026 framework agreement outlining Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, deployment of Lebanese Armed Forces, and steps toward Hezbollah disarmament. Multiple rounds of direct Washington meetings, including military participation, have advanced this security track amid repeated ceasefire extensions and violations. Hezbollah's subsequent rejection of the deal as undermining sovereignty, combined with renewed cross-border strikes, now shapes trader assessments of whether additional high-level diplomatic sessions can occur before key deadlines. Scheduled follow-on negotiations and any escalation or de-escalation signals from Hezbollah or the US remain primary variables for near-term market movement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$156,609Data zakończenia
Jul 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 6, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-mediated talks between Israeli and Lebanese officials have produced a June 2026 framework agreement outlining Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, deployment of Lebanese Armed Forces, and steps toward Hezbollah disarmament. Multiple rounds of direct Washington meetings, including military participation, have advanced this security track amid repeated ceasefire extensions and violations. Hezbollah's subsequent rejection of the deal as undermining sovereignty, combined with renewed cross-border strikes, now shapes trader assessments of whether additional high-level diplomatic sessions can occur before key deadlines. Scheduled follow-on negotiations and any escalation or de-escalation signals from Hezbollah or the US remain primary variables for near-term market movement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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