Opposition parties KMT and TPP, controlling 60 seats in Taiwan's 113-seat Legislative Yuan, lack the 76-vote supermajority required to advance an impeachment motion against President Lai Ching-te, driving trader consensus to 98% "No" by June 30. The dispute stems from Lai's refusal to countersign a 2025 fiscal revenue allocation bill, sparking hearings since December that escalated into a second session on May 14 without his attendance. A roll-call vote is set for May 19, but DPP's 51 seats and no reported defections make passage improbable, with any referral to the Constitutional Court unlikely to resolve before the deadline. Only extraordinary cross-party shifts or procedural surprises could alter odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLai Ching-te impeached by June 30?
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?
$618,585 Wol.
$618,585 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
$618,585 Wol.
$618,585 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Opposition parties KMT and TPP, controlling 60 seats in Taiwan's 113-seat Legislative Yuan, lack the 76-vote supermajority required to advance an impeachment motion against President Lai Ching-te, driving trader consensus to 98% "No" by June 30. The dispute stems from Lai's refusal to countersign a 2025 fiscal revenue allocation bill, sparking hearings since December that escalated into a second session on May 14 without his attendance. A roll-call vote is set for May 19, but DPP's 51 seats and no reported defections make passage improbable, with any referral to the Constitutional Court unlikely to resolve before the deadline. Only extraordinary cross-party shifts or procedural surprises could alter odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
Wolumen
$618,585Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Opposition parties KMT and TPP, controlling 60 seats in Taiwan's 113-seat Legislative Yuan, lack the 76-vote supermajority required to advance an impeachment motion against President Lai Ching-te, driving trader consensus to 98% "No" by June 30. The dispute stems from Lai's refusal to countersign a 2025 fiscal revenue allocation bill, sparking hearings since December that escalated into a second session on May 14 without his attendance. A roll-call vote is set for May 19, but DPP's 51 seats and no reported defections make passage improbable, with any referral to the Constitutional Court unlikely to resolve before the deadline. Only extraordinary cross-party shifts or procedural surprises could alter odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Wolumen
$618,585Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Opposition parties KMT and TPP, controlling 60 seats in Taiwan's 113-seat Legislative Yuan, lack the 76-vote supermajority required to advance an impeachment motion against President Lai Ching-te, driving trader consensus to 98% "No" by June 30. The dispute stems from Lai's refusal to countersign a 2025 fiscal revenue allocation bill, sparking hearings since December that escalated into a second session on May 14 without his attendance. A roll-call vote is set for May 19, but DPP's 51 seats and no reported defections make passage improbable, with any referral to the Constitutional Court unlikely to resolve before the deadline. Only extraordinary cross-party shifts or procedural surprises could alter odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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