**Lee Jae-myung faces negligible impeachment risk before 2027 because the Democratic Party holds a supermajority in the National Assembly, preventing opposition-initiated proceedings from advancing.** The party’s legislative dominance, secured in the 2024 general election and reinforced by strong results in the June 2026 local elections, blocks the two-thirds Assembly vote required for impeachment. A June 2026 citizen petition calling for Lee’s removal collected over 100,000 signatures but stalled in committee with no realistic path to plenary consideration. Lee’s approval ratings have fluctuated near or slightly below 50 percent amid local election controversies such as ballot shortages, yet no major scandals or cross-party defections have emerged to shift legislative dynamics. Ongoing policy focus on North Korea engagement and domestic governance has further stabilized his position without triggering the institutional thresholds or political conditions that led to his predecessor’s removal. Traders therefore assign only a 6.5 percent chance of impeachment by the end of 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
7% szansa
$19,133 Wol.
$19,133 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
7% szansa
$19,133 Wol.
$19,133 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**Lee Jae-myung faces negligible impeachment risk before 2027 because the Democratic Party holds a supermajority in the National Assembly, preventing opposition-initiated proceedings from advancing.**
The party’s legislative dominance, secured in the 2024 general election and reinforced by strong results in the June 2026 local elections, blocks the two-thirds Assembly vote required for impeachment. A June 2026 citizen petition calling for Lee’s removal collected over 100,000 signatures but stalled in committee with no realistic path to plenary consideration.
Lee’s approval ratings have fluctuated near or slightly below 50 percent amid local election controversies such as ballot shortages, yet no major scandals or cross-party defections have emerged to shift legislative dynamics. Ongoing policy focus on North Korea engagement and domestic governance has further stabilized his position without triggering the institutional thresholds or political conditions that led to his predecessor’s removal. Traders therefore assign only a 6.5 percent chance of impeachment by the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Wolumen
$19,133Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**Lee Jae-myung faces negligible impeachment risk before 2027 because the Democratic Party holds a supermajority in the National Assembly, preventing opposition-initiated proceedings from advancing.**
The party’s legislative dominance, secured in the 2024 general election and reinforced by strong results in the June 2026 local elections, blocks the two-thirds Assembly vote required for impeachment. A June 2026 citizen petition calling for Lee’s removal collected over 100,000 signatures but stalled in committee with no realistic path to plenary consideration.
Lee’s approval ratings have fluctuated near or slightly below 50 percent amid local election controversies such as ballot shortages, yet no major scandals or cross-party defections have emerged to shift legislative dynamics. Ongoing policy focus on North Korea engagement and domestic governance has further stabilized his position without triggering the institutional thresholds or political conditions that led to his predecessor’s removal. Traders therefore assign only a 6.5 percent chance of impeachment by the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Wolumen
$19,133Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Lee Jae-myung faces negligible impeachment risk before 2027 because the Democratic Party holds a supermajority in the National Assembly, preventing opposition-initiated proceedings from advancing.** The party’s legislative dominance, secured in the 2024 general election and reinforced by strong results in the June 2026 local elections, blocks the two-thirds Assembly vote required for impeachment. A June 2026 citizen petition calling for Lee’s removal collected over 100,000 signatures but stalled in committee with no realistic path to plenary consideration. Lee’s approval ratings have fluctuated near or slightly below 50 percent amid local election controversies such as ballot shortages, yet no major scandals or cross-party defections have emerged to shift legislative dynamics. Ongoing policy focus on North Korea engagement and domestic governance has further stabilized his position without triggering the institutional thresholds or political conditions that led to his predecessor’s removal. Traders therefore assign only a 6.5 percent chance of impeachment by the end of 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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