Current forecasts from multiple models for Cape Town on September 6 show clear skies and light variable winds under a stable high-pressure pattern, supporting overnight minimums of 13–15°C. This aligns with early spring climatology where September lows average near 11–12°C but can vary with Atlantic moisture or brief ridging shifts. Trader emphasis on the 11°C-or-below outcome at 45% implied probability likely reflects model spread and historical day-to-day variability in minimum temperatures, while warmer bins capture upside potential from continued subsidence and reduced radiational cooling. Updated runs from agencies like the South African Weather Service and global ensembles will clarify steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions ahead of the 24–48 hour resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 6?
11°C or below 91%
21°C or higher 59%
15°C 49%
16°C 49%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 6, 2026
11°C or below
91%
12°C
26%
13°C
29%
14°C
28%
15°C
49%
16°C
49%
17°C
19%
18°C
2%
19°C
17%
20°C
18%
21°C or higher
59%
11°C or below 91%
21°C or higher 59%
15°C 49%
16°C 49%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 6, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Wol.
91%
12°C
$0 Wol.
26%
13°C
$0 Wol.
29%
14°C
$0 Wol.
28%
15°C
$0 Wol.
49%
16°C
$0 Wol.
49%
17°C
$0 Wol.
19%
18°C
$0 Wol.
2%
19°C
$0 Wol.
17%
20°C
$0 Wol.
18%
21°C or higher
$0 Wol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models for Cape Town on September 6 show clear skies and light variable winds under a stable high-pressure pattern, supporting overnight minimums of 13–15°C. This aligns with early spring climatology where September lows average near 11–12°C but can vary with Atlantic moisture or brief ridging shifts. Trader emphasis on the 11°C-or-below outcome at 45% implied probability likely reflects model spread and historical day-to-day variability in minimum temperatures, while warmer bins capture upside potential from continued subsidence and reduced radiational cooling. Updated runs from agencies like the South African Weather Service and global ensembles will clarify steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions ahead of the 24–48 hour resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models for Cape Town on September 6 show clear skies and light variable winds under a stable high-pressure pattern, supporting overnight minimums of 13–15°C. This aligns with early spring climatology where September lows average near 11–12°C but can vary with Atlantic moisture or brief ridging shifts. Trader emphasis on the 11°C-or-below outcome at 45% implied probability likely reflects model spread and historical day-to-day variability in minimum temperatures, while warmer bins capture upside potential from continued subsidence and reduced radiational cooling. Updated runs from agencies like the South African Weather Service and global ensembles will clarify steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions ahead of the 24–48 hour resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models for Cape Town on September 6 show clear skies and light variable winds under a stable high-pressure pattern, supporting overnight minimums of 13–15°C. This aligns with early spring climatology where September lows average near 11–12°C but can vary with Atlantic moisture or brief ridging shifts. Trader emphasis on the 11°C-or-below outcome at 45% implied probability likely reflects model spread and historical day-to-day variability in minimum temperatures, while warmer bins capture upside potential from continued subsidence and reduced radiational cooling. Updated runs from agencies like the South African Weather Service and global ensembles will clarify steering patterns and boundary-layer conditions ahead of the 24–48 hour resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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