**Current forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute, Foreca, Yr.no, and Met Office indicate a minimum temperature of roughly 12–15 °C overnight into August 28, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light winds and negligible precipitation.** This consensus drives the market’s heaviest weighting toward 13 °C (41.5 % implied probability), followed closely by 12 °C and 14 °C. Model agreement on modest radiative cooling beneath high pressure, combined with seasonal norms (historical average low ~12 °C), keeps probabilities for single-digit readings below 20 % while capping upside above 15 °C at under 5 %. Traders are therefore positioning around the narrow 12–14 °C band that multiple operational runs currently favor, with the next overnight model updates and any late adjustments to cloud cover or wind the main near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Helsinki on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Helsinki on August 28?
13°C 40%
8°C 35%
11°C 28%
10°C 28%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 28, 2026
6°C or below
1%
7°C
15%
8°C
35%
9°C
26%
10°C
28%
11°C
28%
12°C
23%
13°C
40%
14°C
23%
15°C
5%
16°C or higher
2%
13°C 40%
8°C 35%
11°C 28%
10°C 28%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 28, 2026
6°C or below
$32 Wol.
1%
7°C
$122 Wol.
15%
8°C
$98 Wol.
35%
9°C
$5 Wol.
26%
10°C
$5 Wol.
28%
11°C
$0 Wol.
28%
12°C
$0 Wol.
23%
13°C
$0 Wol.
40%
14°C
$0 Wol.
23%
15°C
$90 Wol.
5%
16°C or higher
$32 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute, Foreca, Yr.no, and Met Office indicate a minimum temperature of roughly 12–15 °C overnight into August 28, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light winds and negligible precipitation.** This consensus drives the market’s heaviest weighting toward 13 °C (41.5 % implied probability), followed closely by 12 °C and 14 °C.
Model agreement on modest radiative cooling beneath high pressure, combined with seasonal norms (historical average low ~12 °C), keeps probabilities for single-digit readings below 20 % while capping upside above 15 °C at under 5 %. Traders are therefore positioning around the narrow 12–14 °C band that multiple operational runs currently favor, with the next overnight model updates and any late adjustments to cloud cover or wind the main near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$385Data zakończenia
Aug 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute, Foreca, Yr.no, and Met Office indicate a minimum temperature of roughly 12–15 °C overnight into August 28, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light winds and negligible precipitation.** This consensus drives the market’s heaviest weighting toward 13 °C (41.5 % implied probability), followed closely by 12 °C and 14 °C.
Model agreement on modest radiative cooling beneath high pressure, combined with seasonal norms (historical average low ~12 °C), keeps probabilities for single-digit readings below 20 % while capping upside above 15 °C at under 5 %. Traders are therefore positioning around the narrow 12–14 °C band that multiple operational runs currently favor, with the next overnight model updates and any late adjustments to cloud cover or wind the main near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$385Data zakończenia
Aug 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute, Foreca, Yr.no, and Met Office indicate a minimum temperature of roughly 12–15 °C overnight into August 28, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light winds and negligible precipitation.** This consensus drives the market’s heaviest weighting toward 13 °C (41.5 % implied probability), followed closely by 12 °C and 14 °C. Model agreement on modest radiative cooling beneath high pressure, combined with seasonal norms (historical average low ~12 °C), keeps probabilities for single-digit readings below 20 % while capping upside above 15 °C at under 5 %. Traders are therefore positioning around the narrow 12–14 °C band that multiple operational runs currently favor, with the next overnight model updates and any late adjustments to cloud cover or wind the main near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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