Recent National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble runs position enhanced radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds as the main driver behind the 42% implied probability on 69°F or below for Houston's August 24 minimum. Persistent high humidity normally caps overnight drops near 77–81°F, yet traders appear to weigh scenarios where drier mid-level air or brief wind shifts could allow greater surface cooling than the typical August baseline. Upcoming NWS forecast updates and any revised model guidance on cloud cover or steering patterns represent the next key data points that could shift these market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Houston on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Houston on August 24?
69°F or below 60%
78-79°F 37%
80-81°F 37%
74-75°F 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
69°F or below
60%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
<1%
69°F or below 60%
78-79°F 37%
80-81°F 37%
74-75°F 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
69°F or below
$5 Wol.
60%
70-71°F
$198 Wol.
1%
72-73°F
$74 Wol.
2%
74-75°F
$0 Wol.
19%
76-77°F
$0 Wol.
17%
78-79°F
$5 Wol.
27%
80-81°F
$5 Wol.
28%
82-83°F
$0 Wol.
19%
84-85°F
$25 Wol.
1%
86-87°F
$5 Wol.
1%
88°F or higher
$145 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble runs position enhanced radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds as the main driver behind the 42% implied probability on 69°F or below for Houston's August 24 minimum. Persistent high humidity normally caps overnight drops near 77–81°F, yet traders appear to weigh scenarios where drier mid-level air or brief wind shifts could allow greater surface cooling than the typical August baseline. Upcoming NWS forecast updates and any revised model guidance on cloud cover or steering patterns represent the next key data points that could shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$462Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble runs position enhanced radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds as the main driver behind the 42% implied probability on 69°F or below for Houston's August 24 minimum. Persistent high humidity normally caps overnight drops near 77–81°F, yet traders appear to weigh scenarios where drier mid-level air or brief wind shifts could allow greater surface cooling than the typical August baseline. Upcoming NWS forecast updates and any revised model guidance on cloud cover or steering patterns represent the next key data points that could shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$462Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble runs position enhanced radiative cooling under mostly clear skies and light southerly winds as the main driver behind the 42% implied probability on 69°F or below for Houston's August 24 minimum. Persistent high humidity normally caps overnight drops near 77–81°F, yet traders appear to weigh scenarios where drier mid-level air or brief wind shifts could allow greater surface cooling than the typical August baseline. Upcoming NWS forecast updates and any revised model guidance on cloud cover or steering patterns represent the next key data points that could shift these market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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