Recent forecast consensus from models and agencies including AccuWeather and BBC Weather points to overnight lows of 21–25 °C in Jinan on August 21, driven by the lingering influence of the western Pacific subtropical high that maintains warm, humid conditions across northern China during late summer. This climatological baseline, with historical mid-August minima rarely dipping below 20 °C absent a strong cold surge, underpins the market’s leading implied probability for 22 °C or higher. Light easterly winds and limited cloud cover further support radiative cooling that is moderate rather than extreme, while any isolated showers would tend to limit further temperature drops. Updated model runs through August 20 show low spread and no signals of atypical cooling, keeping trader sentiment anchored to these warmer thresholds ahead of official station readings at Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Jinan on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Jinan on August 21?
22°C or higher 54%
12°C or below 40%
21°C 34%
14°C 33%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
12°C or below
40%
13°C
27%
14°C
33%
15°C
33%
16°C
33%
17°C
27%
18°C
29%
19°C
32%
20°C
32%
21°C
34%
22°C or higher
54%
22°C or higher 54%
12°C or below 40%
21°C 34%
14°C 33%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
12°C or below
$38 Wol.
40%
13°C
$65 Wol.
27%
14°C
$55 Wol.
33%
15°C
$55 Wol.
33%
16°C
$55 Wol.
33%
17°C
$15 Wol.
27%
18°C
$65 Wol.
29%
19°C
$55 Wol.
32%
20°C
$15 Wol.
32%
21°C
$0 Wol.
34%
22°C or higher
$253 Wol.
54%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models and agencies including AccuWeather and BBC Weather points to overnight lows of 21–25 °C in Jinan on August 21, driven by the lingering influence of the western Pacific subtropical high that maintains warm, humid conditions across northern China during late summer. This climatological baseline, with historical mid-August minima rarely dipping below 20 °C absent a strong cold surge, underpins the market’s leading implied probability for 22 °C or higher. Light easterly winds and limited cloud cover further support radiative cooling that is moderate rather than extreme, while any isolated showers would tend to limit further temperature drops. Updated model runs through August 20 show low spread and no signals of atypical cooling, keeping trader sentiment anchored to these warmer thresholds ahead of official station readings at Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Wolumen
$668Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models and agencies including AccuWeather and BBC Weather points to overnight lows of 21–25 °C in Jinan on August 21, driven by the lingering influence of the western Pacific subtropical high that maintains warm, humid conditions across northern China during late summer. This climatological baseline, with historical mid-August minima rarely dipping below 20 °C absent a strong cold surge, underpins the market’s leading implied probability for 22 °C or higher. Light easterly winds and limited cloud cover further support radiative cooling that is moderate rather than extreme, while any isolated showers would tend to limit further temperature drops. Updated model runs through August 20 show low spread and no signals of atypical cooling, keeping trader sentiment anchored to these warmer thresholds ahead of official station readings at Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$668Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models and agencies including AccuWeather and BBC Weather points to overnight lows of 21–25 °C in Jinan on August 21, driven by the lingering influence of the western Pacific subtropical high that maintains warm, humid conditions across northern China during late summer. This climatological baseline, with historical mid-August minima rarely dipping below 20 °C absent a strong cold surge, underpins the market’s leading implied probability for 22 °C or higher. Light easterly winds and limited cloud cover further support radiative cooling that is moderate rather than extreme, while any isolated showers would tend to limit further temperature drops. Updated model runs through August 20 show low spread and no signals of atypical cooling, keeping trader sentiment anchored to these warmer thresholds ahead of official station readings at Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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