Current forecast models and real-time observations place Zhengzhou’s overnight low near the 24–25°C threshold amid typical late-summer monsoon humidity, light northeasterly winds, and variable cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. High dew points near 24°C reduce the temperature drop after sunset by limiting net longwave radiation loss, while any increase in cloud thickness or urban heat retention could hold the minimum at or above 25°C. Clearer intervals or slightly drier boundary-layer air would allow greater cooling toward 24°C before sunrise. Traders weigh these small differences in moisture, wind, and insolation against climatological August lows around 24–25°C, producing the near-even split between the two leading outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 21?
22°C 88%
23°C 87%
21°C 80%
20°C 67%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
67%
21°C
80%
22°C
88%
23°C
87%
24°C
49%
25°C or higher
49%
22°C 88%
23°C 87%
21°C 80%
20°C 67%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
15°C or below
$119 Wol.
1%
16°C
$119 Wol.
1%
17°C
$163 Wol.
1%
18°C
$33 Wol.
1%
19°C
$83 Wol.
1%
20°C
$122 Wol.
67%
21°C
$95 Wol.
80%
22°C
$119 Wol.
88%
23°C
$94 Wol.
87%
24°C
$0 Wol.
49%
25°C or higher
$0 Wol.
49%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models and real-time observations place Zhengzhou’s overnight low near the 24–25°C threshold amid typical late-summer monsoon humidity, light northeasterly winds, and variable cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. High dew points near 24°C reduce the temperature drop after sunset by limiting net longwave radiation loss, while any increase in cloud thickness or urban heat retention could hold the minimum at or above 25°C. Clearer intervals or slightly drier boundary-layer air would allow greater cooling toward 24°C before sunrise. Traders weigh these small differences in moisture, wind, and insolation against climatological August lows around 24–25°C, producing the near-even split between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Wolumen
$947Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models and real-time observations place Zhengzhou’s overnight low near the 24–25°C threshold amid typical late-summer monsoon humidity, light northeasterly winds, and variable cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. High dew points near 24°C reduce the temperature drop after sunset by limiting net longwave radiation loss, while any increase in cloud thickness or urban heat retention could hold the minimum at or above 25°C. Clearer intervals or slightly drier boundary-layer air would allow greater cooling toward 24°C before sunrise. Traders weigh these small differences in moisture, wind, and insolation against climatological August lows around 24–25°C, producing the near-even split between the two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$947Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models and real-time observations place Zhengzhou’s overnight low near the 24–25°C threshold amid typical late-summer monsoon humidity, light northeasterly winds, and variable cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. High dew points near 24°C reduce the temperature drop after sunset by limiting net longwave radiation loss, while any increase in cloud thickness or urban heat retention could hold the minimum at or above 25°C. Clearer intervals or slightly drier boundary-layer air would allow greater cooling toward 24°C before sunrise. Traders weigh these small differences in moisture, wind, and insolation against climatological August lows around 24–25°C, producing the near-even split between the two leading outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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