Recent multi-model forecasts from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate afternoon highs of 31–33°C in Zhengzhou on August 22, driven by typical late-summer North China Plain conditions with northeast flow, high humidity, and limited cloud suppression. Scattered thunderstorms may develop but are not expected to cap peak temperatures below the 32°C threshold in most runs. This aligns with the 59% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher, reflecting historical August averages near 31°C and current model consensus, while residual uncertainty from convective timing supports modest probabilities for 30–31°C outcomes. Updated guidance ahead of the daily maximum will be the next key input.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 22?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 22?
32°C or higher 70%
31°C 17%
30°C 15%
29°C 7.3%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
7%
30°C
13%
31°C
17%
32°C or higher
62%
32°C or higher 70%
31°C 17%
30°C 15%
29°C 7.3%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 22, 2026
22°C or below
$145 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$145 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$145 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$145 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$1,110 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$145 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$35 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$298 Wol.
7%
30°C
$61 Wol.
13%
31°C
$0 Wol.
17%
32°C or higher
$11 Wol.
62%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent multi-model forecasts from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate afternoon highs of 31–33°C in Zhengzhou on August 22, driven by typical late-summer North China Plain conditions with northeast flow, high humidity, and limited cloud suppression. Scattered thunderstorms may develop but are not expected to cap peak temperatures below the 32°C threshold in most runs. This aligns with the 59% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher, reflecting historical August averages near 31°C and current model consensus, while residual uncertainty from convective timing supports modest probabilities for 30–31°C outcomes. Updated guidance ahead of the daily maximum will be the next key input.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,240Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent multi-model forecasts from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate afternoon highs of 31–33°C in Zhengzhou on August 22, driven by typical late-summer North China Plain conditions with northeast flow, high humidity, and limited cloud suppression. Scattered thunderstorms may develop but are not expected to cap peak temperatures below the 32°C threshold in most runs. This aligns with the 59% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher, reflecting historical August averages near 31°C and current model consensus, while residual uncertainty from convective timing supports modest probabilities for 30–31°C outcomes. Updated guidance ahead of the daily maximum will be the next key input.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,240Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent multi-model forecasts from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicate afternoon highs of 31–33°C in Zhengzhou on August 22, driven by typical late-summer North China Plain conditions with northeast flow, high humidity, and limited cloud suppression. Scattered thunderstorms may develop but are not expected to cap peak temperatures below the 32°C threshold in most runs. This aligns with the 59% market-implied probability for 32°C or higher, reflecting historical August averages near 31°C and current model consensus, while residual uncertainty from convective timing supports modest probabilities for 30–31°C outcomes. Updated guidance ahead of the daily maximum will be the next key input.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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