Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and timeanddate.com indicate Jinan overnight lows of 24–27°C on August 24, 2026, driven by a persistent warm air mass, high humidity, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with possible thundery showers. This aligns with August climatology showing average lows near 23°C and above-normal temperatures observed so far this month (+1.8–1.9°C departure). The market's leading 55.5% implied probability on 22°C or higher reflects this model consensus, while lower outcomes like 19°C (25%) would require stronger-than-expected cooling from unexpected clear skies or a shift in steering patterns. Updated model runs and official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of resolution will be key.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Jinan on August 24?
19°C 50%
21°C 49%
20°C 45%
15°C 7%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
1%
15°C
7%
16°C
7%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
50%
20°C
45%
21°C
49%
22°C or higher
57%
19°C 50%
21°C 49%
20°C 45%
15°C 7%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
1%
15°C
7%
16°C
7%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
50%
20°C
45%
21°C
49%
22°C or higher
57%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and timeanddate.com indicate Jinan overnight lows of 24–27°C on August 24, 2026, driven by a persistent warm air mass, high humidity, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with possible thundery showers. This aligns with August climatology showing average lows near 23°C and above-normal temperatures observed so far this month (+1.8–1.9°C departure). The market's leading 55.5% implied probability on 22°C or higher reflects this model consensus, while lower outcomes like 19°C (25%) would require stronger-than-expected cooling from unexpected clear skies or a shift in steering patterns. Updated model runs and official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of resolution will be key.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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