**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 28, 2026, centers on 25–27°C outcomes, with implied probabilities clustered tightly around 42–47% for the top bins.** This reflects the narrow diurnal temperature range typical of Kuala Lumpur’s equatorial climate, where high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and convective activity limit nighttime radiative cooling. Official forecasts and model consensus point to overnight lows near 25–27°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with scattered thunderstorms and haze (jerebu). Historical August averages show minimums around 23–24°C, but recent patterns indicate slightly elevated baselines due to persistent moisture and reduced clear-sky periods. Key differentiating factors include the degree of overnight cloud cover—thicker clouds trap longwave radiation and keep surface temperatures higher—versus any breaks allowing more cooling, as well as local wind speeds and dew-point depression that influence how much the air mass mixes or stagnates near the ground. Light winds and high relative humidity (often 85–97%) further compress the range, making precise resolution sensitive to small forecast adjustments in boundary-layer conditions or timing of any showers. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the balance between ensemble guidance showing stable tropical conditions and the potential for modest cooling if convective activity wanes overnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 28?
28°C 70%
27°C 44%
25°C 41%
24°C 37%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
19%
24°C
37%
25°C
41%
26°C
33%
27°C
44%
28°C
70%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
28°C 70%
27°C 44%
25°C 41%
24°C 37%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
5%
23°C
19%
24°C
37%
25°C
41%
26°C
33%
27°C
44%
28°C
70%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 28, 2026, centers on 25–27°C outcomes, with implied probabilities clustered tightly around 42–47% for the top bins.** This reflects the narrow diurnal temperature range typical of Kuala Lumpur’s equatorial climate, where high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and convective activity limit nighttime radiative cooling. Official forecasts and model consensus point to overnight lows near 25–27°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with scattered thunderstorms and haze (jerebu). Historical August averages show minimums around 23–24°C, but recent patterns indicate slightly elevated baselines due to persistent moisture and reduced clear-sky periods. Key differentiating factors include the degree of overnight cloud cover—thicker clouds trap longwave radiation and keep surface temperatures higher—versus any breaks allowing more cooling, as well as local wind speeds and dew-point depression that influence how much the air mass mixes or stagnates near the ground. Light winds and high relative humidity (often 85–97%) further compress the range, making precise resolution sensitive to small forecast adjustments in boundary-layer conditions or timing of any showers. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the balance between ensemble guidance showing stable tropical conditions and the potential for modest cooling if convective activity wanes overnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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