Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover, rainfall, and thunderstorm potential represent the main drivers behind market-implied odds for Lucknow’s September 14 minimum temperature. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate a daytime high near 32–34°C with scattered thundery showers, which typically moderate overnight radiative cooling and support a minimum around 25–26°C. High humidity near 80–95% and light winds further limit temperature drops, consistent with climatological September lows in the mid-20s°C. The closely matched probabilities on extremes (21°C or below versus 31°C or higher) reflect genuine forecast uncertainty from variable convective timing and intensity, while mid-range outcomes around 26–28°C align with current model consensus and historical analogs for active monsoon days. Updated IMD and numerical weather prediction runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine these ranges.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on September 14?
21°C or below 79%
31°C or higher 79%
26°C 40%
23°C 35%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
21°C or below
79%
22°C
13%
23°C
35%
24°C
35%
25°C
20%
26°C
25%
27°C
22%
28°C
25%
29°C
14%
30°C
16%
31°C or higher
79%
21°C or below 79%
31°C or higher 79%
26°C 40%
23°C 35%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Wol.
79%
22°C
$0 Wol.
13%
23°C
$0 Wol.
35%
24°C
$0 Wol.
35%
25°C
$0 Wol.
20%
26°C
$5 Wol.
25%
27°C
$0 Wol.
22%
28°C
$0 Wol.
25%
29°C
$0 Wol.
14%
30°C
$0 Wol.
16%
31°C or higher
$0 Wol.
79%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover, rainfall, and thunderstorm potential represent the main drivers behind market-implied odds for Lucknow’s September 14 minimum temperature. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate a daytime high near 32–34°C with scattered thundery showers, which typically moderate overnight radiative cooling and support a minimum around 25–26°C. High humidity near 80–95% and light winds further limit temperature drops, consistent with climatological September lows in the mid-20s°C. The closely matched probabilities on extremes (21°C or below versus 31°C or higher) reflect genuine forecast uncertainty from variable convective timing and intensity, while mid-range outcomes around 26–28°C align with current model consensus and historical analogs for active monsoon days. Updated IMD and numerical weather prediction runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$5Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover, rainfall, and thunderstorm potential represent the main drivers behind market-implied odds for Lucknow’s September 14 minimum temperature. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate a daytime high near 32–34°C with scattered thundery showers, which typically moderate overnight radiative cooling and support a minimum around 25–26°C. High humidity near 80–95% and light winds further limit temperature drops, consistent with climatological September lows in the mid-20s°C. The closely matched probabilities on extremes (21°C or below versus 31°C or higher) reflect genuine forecast uncertainty from variable convective timing and intensity, while mid-range outcomes around 26–28°C align with current model consensus and historical analogs for active monsoon days. Updated IMD and numerical weather prediction runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover, rainfall, and thunderstorm potential represent the main drivers behind market-implied odds for Lucknow’s September 14 minimum temperature. Official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate a daytime high near 32–34°C with scattered thundery showers, which typically moderate overnight radiative cooling and support a minimum around 25–26°C. High humidity near 80–95% and light winds further limit temperature drops, consistent with climatological September lows in the mid-20s°C. The closely matched probabilities on extremes (21°C or below versus 31°C or higher) reflect genuine forecast uncertainty from variable convective timing and intensity, while mid-range outcomes around 26–28°C align with current model consensus and historical analogs for active monsoon days. Updated IMD and numerical weather prediction runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine these ranges.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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