The active southwest monsoon (habagat) remains the dominant driver, with PAGASA forecasts showing persistent cloudy skies, scattered showers, and 60-80% rain chances over Metro Manila on August 25. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while reducing nocturnal radiative cooling, typically anchoring minimum temperatures near the seasonal 24-26°C baseline. Model consensus from agency outlooks points to a narrow diurnal range around 25-31°C, yet trader odds split sharply between sub-22°C and 31°C+ extremes because localized heavy downpours or brief clear spells can shift the overnight low by several degrees. No tropical cyclone is expected inside the PAR to alter steering or intensity patterns before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Manila on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Manila on August 25?
21°C or below 67%
31°C or higher 67%
26°C 29%
25°C 29%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
67%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
23%
25°C
29%
26°C
29%
27°C
29%
28°C
22%
29°C
17%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
67%
21°C or below 67%
31°C or higher 67%
26°C 29%
25°C 29%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
21°C or below
$145 Wol.
67%
22°C
$145 Wol.
1%
23°C
$69 Wol.
2%
24°C
$0 Wol.
23%
25°C
$0 Wol.
29%
26°C
$0 Wol.
29%
27°C
$0 Wol.
29%
28°C
$5 Wol.
22%
29°C
$67 Wol.
17%
30°C
$5 Wol.
2%
31°C or higher
$145 Wol.
67%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The active southwest monsoon (habagat) remains the dominant driver, with PAGASA forecasts showing persistent cloudy skies, scattered showers, and 60-80% rain chances over Metro Manila on August 25. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while reducing nocturnal radiative cooling, typically anchoring minimum temperatures near the seasonal 24-26°C baseline. Model consensus from agency outlooks points to a narrow diurnal range around 25-31°C, yet trader odds split sharply between sub-22°C and 31°C+ extremes because localized heavy downpours or brief clear spells can shift the overnight low by several degrees. No tropical cyclone is expected inside the PAR to alter steering or intensity patterns before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Wolumen
$581Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:32 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The active southwest monsoon (habagat) remains the dominant driver, with PAGASA forecasts showing persistent cloudy skies, scattered showers, and 60-80% rain chances over Metro Manila on August 25. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while reducing nocturnal radiative cooling, typically anchoring minimum temperatures near the seasonal 24-26°C baseline. Model consensus from agency outlooks points to a narrow diurnal range around 25-31°C, yet trader odds split sharply between sub-22°C and 31°C+ extremes because localized heavy downpours or brief clear spells can shift the overnight low by several degrees. No tropical cyclone is expected inside the PAR to alter steering or intensity patterns before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$581Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:32 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The active southwest monsoon (habagat) remains the dominant driver, with PAGASA forecasts showing persistent cloudy skies, scattered showers, and 60-80% rain chances over Metro Manila on August 25. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while reducing nocturnal radiative cooling, typically anchoring minimum temperatures near the seasonal 24-26°C baseline. Model consensus from agency outlooks points to a narrow diurnal range around 25-31°C, yet trader odds split sharply between sub-22°C and 31°C+ extremes because localized heavy downpours or brief clear spells can shift the overnight low by several degrees. No tropical cyclone is expected inside the PAR to alter steering or intensity patterns before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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