Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and global models indicate Moscow's overnight low on August 30 will likely fall between 9–14°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies allowing moderate radiative cooling under light southerly winds. This places the outcome near the historical average low of 11°C for the date, with trader sentiment split because model consensus shows limited intensification of cooling or warming influences like increased cloud cover or stronger advection. Uncertainties in boundary-layer humidity and exact wind patterns create the tight clustering around 8–15°C thresholds, while the low probability of extremes reflects the stable late-summer pattern without major synoptic shifts expected before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Moscow on August 30?
15°C or higher 95%
5°C or below 90%
8°C 50%
9°C 50%
5°C or below
90%
6°C
49%
7°C
49%
8°C
50%
9°C
50%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
50%
14°C
50%
15°C or higher
95%
15°C or higher 95%
5°C or below 90%
8°C 50%
9°C 50%
5°C or below
90%
6°C
49%
7°C
49%
8°C
50%
9°C
50%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
50%
14°C
50%
15°C or higher
95%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and global models indicate Moscow's overnight low on August 30 will likely fall between 9–14°C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies allowing moderate radiative cooling under light southerly winds. This places the outcome near the historical average low of 11°C for the date, with trader sentiment split because model consensus shows limited intensification of cooling or warming influences like increased cloud cover or stronger advection. Uncertainties in boundary-layer humidity and exact wind patterns create the tight clustering around 8–15°C thresholds, while the low probability of extremes reflects the stable late-summer pattern without major synoptic shifts expected before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania