Current forecast models from sources including Météo-France and global ensembles indicate an overnight minimum of 15–16°C in Paris on September 13, driven by a mild air mass, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling under high pressure. These conditions align with recent observational trends showing warmer-than-average September nights, elevating the market-implied probabilities for 15°C (47.5%) and 16°C (31.5%) while keeping 14°C at 22.5%. Historical climatology places the long-term average low near 11.7°C, but the absence of incoming cooler northerly flow or significant cloud cover supports trader consensus around the upper end of near-term guidance. Updated model runs and early-morning station readings from Paris-Montsouris will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 13?
16°C 31%
15°C 28%
17°C 20%
14°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 13, 2026
9°C or below
2%
10°C
3%
11°C
2%
12°C
5%
13°C
13%
14°C
23%
15°C
48%
16°C
31%
17°C
20%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
16°C 31%
15°C 28%
17°C 20%
14°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 13, 2026
9°C or below
$51 Wol.
2%
10°C
$0 Wol.
3%
11°C
$0 Wol.
2%
12°C
$548 Wol.
5%
13°C
$1,052 Wol.
13%
14°C
$1,456 Wol.
23%
15°C
$777 Wol.
48%
16°C
$674 Wol.
31%
17°C
$372 Wol.
20%
18°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$0 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including Météo-France and global ensembles indicate an overnight minimum of 15–16°C in Paris on September 13, driven by a mild air mass, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling under high pressure. These conditions align with recent observational trends showing warmer-than-average September nights, elevating the market-implied probabilities for 15°C (47.5%) and 16°C (31.5%) while keeping 14°C at 22.5%. Historical climatology places the long-term average low near 11.7°C, but the absence of incoming cooler northerly flow or significant cloud cover supports trader consensus around the upper end of near-term guidance. Updated model runs and early-morning station readings from Paris-Montsouris will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,930Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including Météo-France and global ensembles indicate an overnight minimum of 15–16°C in Paris on September 13, driven by a mild air mass, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling under high pressure. These conditions align with recent observational trends showing warmer-than-average September nights, elevating the market-implied probabilities for 15°C (47.5%) and 16°C (31.5%) while keeping 14°C at 22.5%. Historical climatology places the long-term average low near 11.7°C, but the absence of incoming cooler northerly flow or significant cloud cover supports trader consensus around the upper end of near-term guidance. Updated model runs and early-morning station readings from Paris-Montsouris will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,930Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including Météo-France and global ensembles indicate an overnight minimum of 15–16°C in Paris on September 13, driven by a mild air mass, light westerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling under high pressure. These conditions align with recent observational trends showing warmer-than-average September nights, elevating the market-implied probabilities for 15°C (47.5%) and 16°C (31.5%) while keeping 14°C at 22.5%. Historical climatology places the long-term average low near 11.7°C, but the absence of incoming cooler northerly flow or significant cloud cover supports trader consensus around the upper end of near-term guidance. Updated model runs and early-morning station readings from Paris-Montsouris will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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