Recent forecast consensus from models and monitoring agencies points to overnight minimum temperatures in Shanghai of 27–28°C on August 23, driven by persistent southeasterly winds, elevated dew points near 26–27°C, and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. High humidity levels above 80% and scattered showers further suppress diurnal temperature ranges, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Market-implied odds heavily favor these outcomes because updated model runs show little deviation from this narrow band, with only minor adjustments possible from final steering patterns or localized rainfall intensity. Traders monitor official updates from Chinese meteorological sources for any last-minute revisions ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 23?
27°C 54%
28°C 40%
26°C 7%
25°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
54%
28°C
40%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 54%
28°C 40%
26°C 7%
25°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
22°C or below
$26 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$142 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$152 Wol.
2%
25°C
$92 Wol.
4%
26°C
$73 Wol.
7%
27°C
$3,264 Wol.
54%
28°C
$376 Wol.
40%
29°C
$17 Wol.
1%
30°C
$12 Wol.
1%
31°C
$24 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$60 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models and monitoring agencies points to overnight minimum temperatures in Shanghai of 27–28°C on August 23, driven by persistent southeasterly winds, elevated dew points near 26–27°C, and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. High humidity levels above 80% and scattered showers further suppress diurnal temperature ranges, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Market-implied odds heavily favor these outcomes because updated model runs show little deviation from this narrow band, with only minor adjustments possible from final steering patterns or localized rainfall intensity. Traders monitor official updates from Chinese meteorological sources for any last-minute revisions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,239Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models and monitoring agencies points to overnight minimum temperatures in Shanghai of 27–28°C on August 23, driven by persistent southeasterly winds, elevated dew points near 26–27°C, and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. High humidity levels above 80% and scattered showers further suppress diurnal temperature ranges, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Market-implied odds heavily favor these outcomes because updated model runs show little deviation from this narrow band, with only minor adjustments possible from final steering patterns or localized rainfall intensity. Traders monitor official updates from Chinese meteorological sources for any last-minute revisions ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,239Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models and monitoring agencies points to overnight minimum temperatures in Shanghai of 27–28°C on August 23, driven by persistent southeasterly winds, elevated dew points near 26–27°C, and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. High humidity levels above 80% and scattered showers further suppress diurnal temperature ranges, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Market-implied odds heavily favor these outcomes because updated model runs show little deviation from this narrow band, with only minor adjustments possible from final steering patterns or localized rainfall intensity. Traders monitor official updates from Chinese meteorological sources for any last-minute revisions ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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