The market prices 27°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on August 25, reflecting numerical weather model consensus for typical late-summer conditions under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high. Historical climatology shows August nighttime lows averaging 25–28°C, with modest day-to-day variability driven by humidity, cloud cover, and any passing weak frontal boundaries or typhoon-related moisture. Current model guidance indicates no major cooling events or heat-wave intensification through the period, keeping probabilities clustered around the seasonal mean. Traders monitor updates from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles, as small shifts in forecast dew points or wind patterns could adjust the exact minimum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 25?
27°C 53%
26°C 25%
28°C 18%
29°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
25%
27°C
53%
28°C
18%
29°C
8%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 53%
26°C 25%
28°C 18%
29°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
$61 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$10 Wol.
1%
24°C
$10 Wol.
3%
25°C
$226 Wol.
7%
26°C
$892 Wol.
25%
27°C
$849 Wol.
53%
28°C
$246 Wol.
18%
29°C
$10 Wol.
8%
30°C
$69 Wol.
1%
31°C
$67 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$67 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market prices 27°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on August 25, reflecting numerical weather model consensus for typical late-summer conditions under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high. Historical climatology shows August nighttime lows averaging 25–28°C, with modest day-to-day variability driven by humidity, cloud cover, and any passing weak frontal boundaries or typhoon-related moisture. Current model guidance indicates no major cooling events or heat-wave intensification through the period, keeping probabilities clustered around the seasonal mean. Traders monitor updates from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles, as small shifts in forecast dew points or wind patterns could adjust the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,273Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market prices 27°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on August 25, reflecting numerical weather model consensus for typical late-summer conditions under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high. Historical climatology shows August nighttime lows averaging 25–28°C, with modest day-to-day variability driven by humidity, cloud cover, and any passing weak frontal boundaries or typhoon-related moisture. Current model guidance indicates no major cooling events or heat-wave intensification through the period, keeping probabilities clustered around the seasonal mean. Traders monitor updates from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles, as small shifts in forecast dew points or wind patterns could adjust the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,273Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market prices 27°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on August 25, reflecting numerical weather model consensus for typical late-summer conditions under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high. Historical climatology shows August nighttime lows averaging 25–28°C, with modest day-to-day variability driven by humidity, cloud cover, and any passing weak frontal boundaries or typhoon-related moisture. Current model guidance indicates no major cooling events or heat-wave intensification through the period, keeping probabilities clustered around the seasonal mean. Traders monitor updates from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles, as small shifts in forecast dew points or wind patterns could adjust the exact minimum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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