Singapore's equatorial climate and ongoing strong El Niño conditions, which favor above-average nighttime temperatures and reduced cloud cover for radiative cooling, primarily drive the closely matched odds around 24–27°C for the September 3 minimum. Recent forecasts from meteorological models project overnight lows near 25–26°C, consistent with September climatology of 25–26°C averages and elevated hot-night frequency above 26.3°C. Variability from afternoon thunderstorms, humidity levels, and wind patterns creates the tight spread among leading outcomes, while probabilities below 23°C remain lower due to historical rarity and the current warm anomaly. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine these market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Singapore on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Singapore on September 3?
21°C or below 69%
30°C 47%
27°C 45%
26°C 29%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
21°C or below
69%
22°C
19%
23°C
25%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
29%
27°C
45%
28°C
25%
29°C
25%
30°C
47%
31°C or higher
2%
21°C or below 69%
30°C 47%
27°C 45%
26°C 29%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Wol.
69%
22°C
$5 Wol.
19%
23°C
$0 Wol.
25%
24°C
$0 Wol.
25%
25°C
$0 Wol.
25%
26°C
$0 Wol.
29%
27°C
$0 Wol.
45%
28°C
$0 Wol.
25%
29°C
$0 Wol.
25%
30°C
$5 Wol.
47%
31°C or higher
$5 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore's equatorial climate and ongoing strong El Niño conditions, which favor above-average nighttime temperatures and reduced cloud cover for radiative cooling, primarily drive the closely matched odds around 24–27°C for the September 3 minimum. Recent forecasts from meteorological models project overnight lows near 25–26°C, consistent with September climatology of 25–26°C averages and elevated hot-night frequency above 26.3°C. Variability from afternoon thunderstorms, humidity levels, and wind patterns creates the tight spread among leading outcomes, while probabilities below 23°C remain lower due to historical rarity and the current warm anomaly. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$20Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore's equatorial climate and ongoing strong El Niño conditions, which favor above-average nighttime temperatures and reduced cloud cover for radiative cooling, primarily drive the closely matched odds around 24–27°C for the September 3 minimum. Recent forecasts from meteorological models project overnight lows near 25–26°C, consistent with September climatology of 25–26°C averages and elevated hot-night frequency above 26.3°C. Variability from afternoon thunderstorms, humidity levels, and wind patterns creates the tight spread among leading outcomes, while probabilities below 23°C remain lower due to historical rarity and the current warm anomaly. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$20Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Singapore's equatorial climate and ongoing strong El Niño conditions, which favor above-average nighttime temperatures and reduced cloud cover for radiative cooling, primarily drive the closely matched odds around 24–27°C for the September 3 minimum. Recent forecasts from meteorological models project overnight lows near 25–26°C, consistent with September climatology of 25–26°C averages and elevated hot-night frequency above 26.3°C. Variability from afternoon thunderstorms, humidity levels, and wind patterns creates the tight spread among leading outcomes, while probabilities below 23°C remain lower due to historical rarity and the current warm anomaly. Updated model runs ahead of the date will refine these market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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