**Strong market consensus on a 24°C low reflects current forecast model runs and climatological baselines for Tel Aviv's Mediterranean summer pattern.** Official guidance from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service and international models (GFS, ECMWF) projects overnight minimums near 24–26°C on August 29, consistent with historical averages of roughly 24°C (75°F) at the coolest pre-dawn hour around 05:45 local time. Persistent clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and typical August humidity levels support efficient nocturnal radiative cooling without significant marine layer suppression or storm activity that could elevate the minimum. Traders assign over 90% implied probability to 24°C because recent model consensus and station observations align closely with this threshold, while deviations to 23°C or below would require atypical conditions such as stronger-than-expected onshore flow or unexpected cloud cover. Resolution depends on the official recorded minimum, typically from a central Tel Aviv or Ben Gurion Airport station, with final values expected after the full diurnal cycle completes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 29?
24°C 99%
21°C 6%
23°C 3%
22°C 2%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C
9%
24°C
99%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 99%
21°C 6%
23°C 3%
22°C 2%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
18°C or below
$347 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$285 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$922 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$120 Wol.
6%
22°C
$162 Wol.
2%
23°C
$199 Wol.
9%
24°C
$1,091 Wol.
99%
25°C
$423 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$66 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$280 Wol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$20 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong market consensus on a 24°C low reflects current forecast model runs and climatological baselines for Tel Aviv's Mediterranean summer pattern.**
Official guidance from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service and international models (GFS, ECMWF) projects overnight minimums near 24–26°C on August 29, consistent with historical averages of roughly 24°C (75°F) at the coolest pre-dawn hour around 05:45 local time. Persistent clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and typical August humidity levels support efficient nocturnal radiative cooling without significant marine layer suppression or storm activity that could elevate the minimum.
Traders assign over 90% implied probability to 24°C because recent model consensus and station observations align closely with this threshold, while deviations to 23°C or below would require atypical conditions such as stronger-than-expected onshore flow or unexpected cloud cover. Resolution depends on the official recorded minimum, typically from a central Tel Aviv or Ben Gurion Airport station, with final values expected after the full diurnal cycle completes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,915Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong market consensus on a 24°C low reflects current forecast model runs and climatological baselines for Tel Aviv's Mediterranean summer pattern.**
Official guidance from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service and international models (GFS, ECMWF) projects overnight minimums near 24–26°C on August 29, consistent with historical averages of roughly 24°C (75°F) at the coolest pre-dawn hour around 05:45 local time. Persistent clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and typical August humidity levels support efficient nocturnal radiative cooling without significant marine layer suppression or storm activity that could elevate the minimum.
Traders assign over 90% implied probability to 24°C because recent model consensus and station observations align closely with this threshold, while deviations to 23°C or below would require atypical conditions such as stronger-than-expected onshore flow or unexpected cloud cover. Resolution depends on the official recorded minimum, typically from a central Tel Aviv or Ben Gurion Airport station, with final values expected after the full diurnal cycle completes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,915Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Strong market consensus on a 24°C low reflects current forecast model runs and climatological baselines for Tel Aviv's Mediterranean summer pattern.** Official guidance from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service and international models (GFS, ECMWF) projects overnight minimums near 24–26°C on August 29, consistent with historical averages of roughly 24°C (75°F) at the coolest pre-dawn hour around 05:45 local time. Persistent clear to partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and typical August humidity levels support efficient nocturnal radiative cooling without significant marine layer suppression or storm activity that could elevate the minimum. Traders assign over 90% implied probability to 24°C because recent model consensus and station observations align closely with this threshold, while deviations to 23°C or below would require atypical conditions such as stronger-than-expected onshore flow or unexpected cloud cover. Resolution depends on the official recorded minimum, typically from a central Tel Aviv or Ben Gurion Airport station, with final values expected after the full diurnal cycle completes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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