Trader consensus favors below-85% turnout at 48.5% implied probability for Malta's snap general election on May 30, driven by the ongoing decline from 2022's 60-year low of 85.6% amid a lopsided race. Recent Sagalytics polling (April 30–May 6) shows incumbent Labour Party leading Nationalists 53–43%, widening from April surveys and likely suppressing opposition mobilization in the short five-week campaign triggered by Prime Minister Robert Abela on April 27 amid Middle East energy pressures. Rallies emphasize stipends, housing, and Gozo infrastructure, but lack competitiveness tempers enthusiasm; 85–90% remains viable per historical base rates, while higher bins reflect barriers to surges without major catalysts like close polls or controversies. Early voting continues through May 23.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano<85% 49%
85-90% 37%
90-95% 24.0%
95%+ <1%
$24,507 Wol.
$24,507 Wol.
May 30, 2026
<85%
49%
85-90%
32%
90-95%
18%
95%+
1%
<85% 49%
85-90% 37%
90-95% 24.0%
95%+ <1%
$24,507 Wol.
$24,507 Wol.
May 30, 2026
<85%
$7,282 Wol.
49%
85-90%
$5,213 Wol.
32%
90-95%
$5,983 Wol.
18%
95%+
$6,030 Wol.
1%
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Maltese general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Government of Malta, including the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/)Trader consensus favors below-85% turnout at 48.5% implied probability for Malta's snap general election on May 30, driven by the ongoing decline from 2022's 60-year low of 85.6% amid a lopsided race. Recent Sagalytics polling (April 30–May 6) shows incumbent Labour Party leading Nationalists 53–43%, widening from April surveys and likely suppressing opposition mobilization in the short five-week campaign triggered by Prime Minister Robert Abela on April 27 amid Middle East energy pressures. Rallies emphasize stipends, housing, and Gozo infrastructure, but lack competitiveness tempers enthusiasm; 85–90% remains viable per historical base rates, while higher bins reflect barriers to surges without major catalysts like close polls or controversies. Early voting continues through May 23.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Maltese general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Government of Malta, including the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/)
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Maltese general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Government of Malta, including the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/)
Rynek otwarty: May 1, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$24,507Data zakończenia
May 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 1, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Maltese general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Government of Malta, including the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/)Trader consensus favors below-85% turnout at 48.5% implied probability for Malta's snap general election on May 30, driven by the ongoing decline from 2022's 60-year low of 85.6% amid a lopsided race. Recent Sagalytics polling (April 30–May 6) shows incumbent Labour Party leading Nationalists 53–43%, widening from April surveys and likely suppressing opposition mobilization in the short five-week campaign triggered by Prime Minister Robert Abela on April 27 amid Middle East energy pressures. Rallies emphasize stipends, housing, and Gozo infrastructure, but lack competitiveness tempers enthusiasm; 85–90% remains viable per historical base rates, while higher bins reflect barriers to surges without major catalysts like close polls or controversies. Early voting continues through May 23.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Maltese general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Government of Malta, including the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/)
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Maltese general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Government of Malta, including the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/)
Wolumen
$24,507Data zakończenia
May 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 1, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors below-85% turnout at 48.5% implied probability for Malta's snap general election on May 30, driven by the ongoing decline from 2022's 60-year low of 85.6% amid a lopsided race. Recent Sagalytics polling (April 30–May 6) shows incumbent Labour Party leading Nationalists 53–43%, widening from April surveys and likely suppressing opposition mobilization in the short five-week campaign triggered by Prime Minister Robert Abela on April 27 amid Middle East energy pressures. Rallies emphasize stipends, housing, and Gozo infrastructure, but lack competitiveness tempers enthusiasm; 85–90% remains viable per historical base rates, while higher bins reflect barriers to surges without major catalysts like close polls or controversies. Early voting continues through May 23.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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