Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Tina Smith, favors Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests and her strong primary performance. Flanagan secured the Democratic nomination on August 11 with roughly 59 percent of the vote against Rep. Angie Craig, backed by prominent progressive endorsements and party infrastructure. Michele Tafoya, a political newcomer who won the Republican primary with about 52 percent, faces structural headwinds in a state that has not elected a GOP senator since 2002, with early generic ballot polling showing Democrats ahead. Forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic. Tafoya's path to victory would require substantial shifts in turnout, a major late development affecting voter sentiment, or sustained national tailwinds for Republicans that overcome Minnesota's baseline partisan patterns.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMinnesota Senate Election Winner
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
$47,494 Wol.
$47,494 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
91%
Michele Tafoya (R)
9%
$47,494 Wol.
$47,494 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
$31,632 Wol.
91%
Michele Tafoya (R)
$15,862 Wol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Tina Smith, favors Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests and her strong primary performance. Flanagan secured the Democratic nomination on August 11 with roughly 59 percent of the vote against Rep. Angie Craig, backed by prominent progressive endorsements and party infrastructure. Michele Tafoya, a political newcomer who won the Republican primary with about 52 percent, faces structural headwinds in a state that has not elected a GOP senator since 2002, with early generic ballot polling showing Democrats ahead. Forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic. Tafoya's path to victory would require substantial shifts in turnout, a major late development affecting voter sentiment, or sustained national tailwinds for Republicans that overcome Minnesota's baseline partisan patterns.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Wolumen
$47,494Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Tina Smith, favors Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests and her strong primary performance. Flanagan secured the Democratic nomination on August 11 with roughly 59 percent of the vote against Rep. Angie Craig, backed by prominent progressive endorsements and party infrastructure. Michele Tafoya, a political newcomer who won the Republican primary with about 52 percent, faces structural headwinds in a state that has not elected a GOP senator since 2002, with early generic ballot polling showing Democrats ahead. Forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic. Tafoya's path to victory would require substantial shifts in turnout, a major late development affecting voter sentiment, or sustained national tailwinds for Republicans that overcome Minnesota's baseline partisan patterns.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Wolumen
$47,494Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Tina Smith, favors Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests and her strong primary performance. Flanagan secured the Democratic nomination on August 11 with roughly 59 percent of the vote against Rep. Angie Craig, backed by prominent progressive endorsements and party infrastructure. Michele Tafoya, a political newcomer who won the Republican primary with about 52 percent, faces structural headwinds in a state that has not elected a GOP senator since 2002, with early generic ballot polling showing Democrats ahead. Forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic. Tafoya's path to victory would require substantial shifts in turnout, a major late development affecting voter sentiment, or sustained national tailwinds for Republicans that overcome Minnesota's baseline partisan patterns.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania