Matt Little secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota's open 2nd congressional district seat on August 11 after Angie Craig vacated it to pursue a U.S. Senate bid. The suburban district carries a D+3 partisan voting index and has favored Democrats in recent cycles, including Craig's 55 percent win in 2024. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 91.5 percent probability of holding the seat on November 3, reflecting the district's underlying lean, Little's primary victory over multiple state legislators, and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape. A Republican victory by Eric Pratt would require either an unusually strong national midterm environment for the GOP or significant local weaknesses in Democratic turnout and fundraising.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMN-02 House Election Winner
MN-02 House Election Winner
$21,909 Wol.
$21,909 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
$21,909 Wol.
$21,909 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,465 Wol.
92%
Republican Party
$13,444 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Matt Little secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota's open 2nd congressional district seat on August 11 after Angie Craig vacated it to pursue a U.S. Senate bid. The suburban district carries a D+3 partisan voting index and has favored Democrats in recent cycles, including Craig's 55 percent win in 2024. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 91.5 percent probability of holding the seat on November 3, reflecting the district's underlying lean, Little's primary victory over multiple state legislators, and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape. A Republican victory by Eric Pratt would require either an unusually strong national midterm environment for the GOP or significant local weaknesses in Democratic turnout and fundraising.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Wolumen
$21,909Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Matt Little secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota's open 2nd congressional district seat on August 11 after Angie Craig vacated it to pursue a U.S. Senate bid. The suburban district carries a D+3 partisan voting index and has favored Democrats in recent cycles, including Craig's 55 percent win in 2024. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 91.5 percent probability of holding the seat on November 3, reflecting the district's underlying lean, Little's primary victory over multiple state legislators, and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape. A Republican victory by Eric Pratt would require either an unusually strong national midterm environment for the GOP or significant local weaknesses in Democratic turnout and fundraising.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$21,909Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Matt Little secured the Democratic nomination for Minnesota's open 2nd congressional district seat on August 11 after Angie Craig vacated it to pursue a U.S. Senate bid. The suburban district carries a D+3 partisan voting index and has favored Democrats in recent cycles, including Craig's 55 percent win in 2024. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 91.5 percent probability of holding the seat on November 3, reflecting the district's underlying lean, Little's primary victory over multiple state legislators, and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape. A Republican victory by Eric Pratt would require either an unusually strong national midterm environment for the GOP or significant local weaknesses in Democratic turnout and fundraising.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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