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Wybory·Wybory Globalne

Kolejne wybory prezydenckie we Francji

icon for Kolejne wybory prezydenckie we Francji
Wybory·Wybory Globalne

Kolejne wybory prezydenckie we Francji

Jordan Bardella 23%

Édouard Philippe 20%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11%

Marine Le Pen 6%

Polymarket

$73,004,207 Wol.

Jordan Bardella 23%

Édouard Philippe 20%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 11%

Marine Le Pen 6%

Polymarket

$73,004,207 Wol.

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$898,424 Wol.

23%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$708,125 Wol.

20%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$558,371 Wol.

11%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$527,984 Wol.

6%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$1,208,356 Wol.

5%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$1,158,882 Wol.

5%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$1,022,979 Wol.

5%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$1,243,431 Wol.

3%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$1,368,522 Wol.

3%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$842,989 Wol.

2%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$1,306,716 Wol.

2%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$1,482,643 Wol.

1%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$901,517 Wol.

1%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$741,802 Wol.

1%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$1,376,548 Wol.

1%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$1,271,109 Wol.

1%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$2,099,660 Wol.

1%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$2,640,829 Wol.

1%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$756,989 Wol.

1%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$2,733,313 Wol.

1%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$2,198,469 Wol.

1%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$3,592,514 Wol.

1%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$2,851,569 Wol.

1%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$1,567,718 Wol.

1%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$2,135,290 Wol.

1%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$3,170,735 Wol.

1%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$3,073,005 Wol.

1%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$3,837,965 Wol.

1%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$3,590,319 Wol.

1%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$3,370,031 Wol.

1%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$2,711,483 Wol.

1%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$3,010,717 Wol.

1%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$3,299,854 Wol.

1%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$2,537,004 Wol.

1%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$3,409,230 Wol.

1%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$3,802,145 Wol.

1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The crowded field of contenders for France's April 2027 presidential election has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered, with National Rally leader Jordan Bardella holding a modest edge over center-right former prime minister Édouard Philippe. Recent municipal elections reinforced anti-establishment sentiment while boosting Philippe's profile through his strong local performance and subsequent campaign launch, positioning him as the leading moderate challenger. Persistent fragmentation on the left and center, combined with Marine Le Pen's ongoing legal appeals that could affect National Rally unity, has prevented any single candidate from consolidating support in second-round scenarios. Upcoming party primaries and further polling shifts could widen gaps if one moderate consolidates opposition to the far right.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Wolumen
$73,004,207
Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).The crowded field of contenders for France's April 2027 presidential election has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered, with National Rally leader Jordan Bardella holding a modest edge over center-right former prime minister Édouard Philippe. Recent municipal elections reinforced anti-establishment sentiment while boosting Philippe's profile through his strong local performance and subsequent campaign launch, positioning him as the leading moderate challenger. Persistent fragmentation on the left and center, combined with Marine Le Pen's ongoing legal appeals that could affect National Rally unity, has prevented any single candidate from consolidating support in second-round scenarios. Upcoming party primaries and further polling shifts could widen gaps if one moderate consolidates opposition to the far right.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Wolumen
$73,004,207
Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Nov 13, 2025, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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Często zadawane pytania

"Kolejne wybory prezydenckie we Francji" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 36 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Jordan Bardella" z 23%, za nim "Édouard Philippe" z 20%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 23¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 23% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Kolejne wybory prezydenckie we Francji" wygenerował $73 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Nov 13, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Kolejne wybory prezydenckie we Francji", przeglądaj 36 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Kolejne wybory prezydenckie we Francji" jest "Jordan Bardella" z 23%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 23% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Édouard Philippe" z 20%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Kolejne wybory prezydenckie we Francji" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.