Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York's 11th congressional district, encompassing Staten Island and adjacent Brooklyn neighborhoods, with traders assigning the Republican nominee a 93.5% implied probability. Her established incumbency, repeated primary and general election successes, and the district's consistent Republican lean underpin this consensus, reinforced by nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or lean Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Democrat Michael DeCillis secured his party's nomination in the June 23 primary but trails significantly. Shifts could arise from substantial changes in national political conditions, unusually high Democratic turnout in Brooklyn precincts, or unforeseen developments such as candidate health issues or late scandals that alter voter assessments in this battleground-leaning area.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNY-11 House Election Winner
NY-11 House Election Winner
$25,855 Wol.
$25,855 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$25,855 Wol.
$25,855 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$12,761 Wol.
94%
Democratic Party
$13,094 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York's 11th congressional district, encompassing Staten Island and adjacent Brooklyn neighborhoods, with traders assigning the Republican nominee a 93.5% implied probability. Her established incumbency, repeated primary and general election successes, and the district's consistent Republican lean underpin this consensus, reinforced by nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or lean Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Democrat Michael DeCillis secured his party's nomination in the June 23 primary but trails significantly. Shifts could arise from substantial changes in national political conditions, unusually high Democratic turnout in Brooklyn precincts, or unforeseen developments such as candidate health issues or late scandals that alter voter assessments in this battleground-leaning area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Wolumen
$25,855Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York's 11th congressional district, encompassing Staten Island and adjacent Brooklyn neighborhoods, with traders assigning the Republican nominee a 93.5% implied probability. Her established incumbency, repeated primary and general election successes, and the district's consistent Republican lean underpin this consensus, reinforced by nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or lean Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Democrat Michael DeCillis secured his party's nomination in the June 23 primary but trails significantly. Shifts could arise from substantial changes in national political conditions, unusually high Democratic turnout in Brooklyn precincts, or unforeseen developments such as candidate health issues or late scandals that alter voter assessments in this battleground-leaning area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$25,855Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York's 11th congressional district, encompassing Staten Island and adjacent Brooklyn neighborhoods, with traders assigning the Republican nominee a 93.5% implied probability. Her established incumbency, repeated primary and general election successes, and the district's consistent Republican lean underpin this consensus, reinforced by nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or lean Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. Democrat Michael DeCillis secured his party's nomination in the June 23 primary but trails significantly. Shifts could arise from substantial changes in national political conditions, unusually high Democratic turnout in Brooklyn precincts, or unforeseen developments such as candidate health issues or late scandals that alter voter assessments in this battleground-leaning area.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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