Recent reports highlight OpenAI's CFO privately advocating a delay of any initial public offering until 2027, citing heavy compute infrastructure spending, missed revenue targets, and the need for more stable financial reporting ahead of public scrutiny. This development has reinforced trader consensus around the 73.5% implied probability of no IPO by the end of 2026, as the company continues burning cash on large language model training while navigating a high-stakes legal dispute with Elon Musk. A March funding round valued OpenAI at $852 billion, yet analysts note that achieving the higher market-implied valuation tiers would require sustained revenue growth and clearer path to profitability amid competitive pressure from rivals like Anthropic and Google.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLimit rynkowy zamknięcia IPO OpenAI
Limit rynkowy zamknięcia IPO OpenAI
Brak IPO do 31 grudnia 2026 roku 74%
1,5 bln+ 8.0%
1,25–1,5 bln 3.7%
500–750 mld 3.5%
$1,638,756 Wol.
$1,638,756 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
<500 mld
1%
500–750 mld
3%
750 mld–1 bln
2%
1 bln–1,25 bln
2%
1,25–1,5 bln
4%
1,5 bln+
8%
Brak IPO do 31 grudnia 2026 roku
74%
Brak IPO do 31 grudnia 2026 roku 74%
1,5 bln+ 8.0%
1,25–1,5 bln 3.7%
500–750 mld 3.5%
$1,638,756 Wol.
$1,638,756 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
<500 mld
$266,170 Wol.
1%
500–750 mld
$146,331 Wol.
3%
750 mld–1 bln
$141,042 Wol.
2%
1 bln–1,25 bln
$182,614 Wol.
2%
1,25–1,5 bln
$496,517 Wol.
4%
1,5 bln+
$101,032 Wol.
8%
Brak IPO do 31 grudnia 2026 roku
$305,050 Wol.
74%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent reports highlight OpenAI's CFO privately advocating a delay of any initial public offering until 2027, citing heavy compute infrastructure spending, missed revenue targets, and the need for more stable financial reporting ahead of public scrutiny. This development has reinforced trader consensus around the 73.5% implied probability of no IPO by the end of 2026, as the company continues burning cash on large language model training while navigating a high-stakes legal dispute with Elon Musk. A March funding round valued OpenAI at $852 billion, yet analysts note that achieving the higher market-implied valuation tiers would require sustained revenue growth and clearer path to profitability amid competitive pressure from rivals like Anthropic and Google.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,638,756Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent reports highlight OpenAI's CFO privately advocating a delay of any initial public offering until 2027, citing heavy compute infrastructure spending, missed revenue targets, and the need for more stable financial reporting ahead of public scrutiny. This development has reinforced trader consensus around the 73.5% implied probability of no IPO by the end of 2026, as the company continues burning cash on large language model training while navigating a high-stakes legal dispute with Elon Musk. A March funding round valued OpenAI at $852 billion, yet analysts note that achieving the higher market-implied valuation tiers would require sustained revenue growth and clearer path to profitability amid competitive pressure from rivals like Anthropic and Google.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Wolumen
$1,638,756Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent reports highlight OpenAI's CFO privately advocating a delay of any initial public offering until 2027, citing heavy compute infrastructure spending, missed revenue targets, and the need for more stable financial reporting ahead of public scrutiny. This development has reinforced trader consensus around the 73.5% implied probability of no IPO by the end of 2026, as the company continues burning cash on large language model training while navigating a high-stakes legal dispute with Elon Musk. A March funding round valued OpenAI at $852 billion, yet analysts note that achieving the higher market-implied valuation tiers would require sustained revenue growth and clearer path to profitability amid competitive pressure from rivals like Anthropic and Google.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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