In Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District, a toss-up swing seat in the Lehigh Valley rated R+1 by Cook Political Report, trader consensus prices Democrats at 71.5% to flip the seat from incumbent Republican Ryan Mackenzie, reflecting swing voter frustration with congressional inaction on rising housing, gas, and grocery costs amid broader midterm pressures on the president's party. With the May 19 Democratic primary days away, union leader and firefighter Bob Brooks dominates at 92% odds despite rival Ryan Crosswell's cash-on-hand edge ($435,000 vs. $250,000) per latest filings, positioning a unified Democratic challenge backed by competitive fundraising ($1.17 million total for Brooks). Mackenzie holds $2.59 million cash but faces headwinds from district history of alternating presidential margins and national focus on House control.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPA-07 House Election Winner
PA-07 House Election Winner
Democratic Party
72%
Republican Party
28%
Democratic Party
72%
Republican Party
28%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Pennsylvania's 7th Congressional District, a toss-up swing seat in the Lehigh Valley rated R+1 by Cook Political Report, trader consensus prices Democrats at 71.5% to flip the seat from incumbent Republican Ryan Mackenzie, reflecting swing voter frustration with congressional inaction on rising housing, gas, and grocery costs amid broader midterm pressures on the president's party. With the May 19 Democratic primary days away, union leader and firefighter Bob Brooks dominates at 92% odds despite rival Ryan Crosswell's cash-on-hand edge ($435,000 vs. $250,000) per latest filings, positioning a unified Democratic challenge backed by competitive fundraising ($1.17 million total for Brooks). Mackenzie holds $2.59 million cash but faces headwinds from district history of alternating presidential margins and national focus on House control.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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